Why Baeza is being prepared to improve and win the 2025 Belmont Stakes

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Grade 1 157th, $2 million Belmont Stakes presented by NYRA BETS While construction continues at Belmont Park, it will be held at the Saratoga Race Course for the second consecutive year. As in 2024, Saturday’s race will take place at the same 1¼ mile distance as the Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve five weeks ago.

sovereignty He won the Kentucky Derby with a length of 1½ JournalismSomeone who finished his head in front of it Baeza. As both Sovereignty and Baeza skipped the Preakness Stakes two weeks later, journalism spiked to compensate for the five lengths in the final eight miles, hosting the show when they won half the length. Heart of HonorHe missed his nose when he came in second in the $1 million UAE Derby sponsored by Jumeirah in April, but finished fifth in Preakness after running in ninth and 13¼ lengths for the leader. Hill Road With the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes four weeks ago, and trying to win the Belmont Stakes just like Arcangelo did in 2023, and what Tonalists did in 2014, both of these races ran at a traditional Belmont Stakes distance of 1½ miles. RodriguezHe won the Grade 2 Wood Memorial Stakes, announced when Resorts World Casino led from start to finish in April, taking part in to run in the Kentucky Derby, and suffered a hoof injury a few days before the race. raw Before Journalism scored Preakness on the same day, he won the Pimlico 3 race at Spendthrift Farm’s Sir Barton Stakes, setting his first step into a gradual stake. Not recorded He concluded the field, which finished sixth with Peter Pan. This was his first start in the stakes race.

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Analysis and Key Candidates:

Analyzing 3-year-olds during this period is to predict improvements as small as other factors. Keep that in mind Baeza It seems appropriate to be a top candidate for winning in this field. Baeza made his career debut on the grass in December last year, a mile in law, and by that time he had run three times. Similarly, Journalism ran twice and won by a mile. Then, 13 days after Baeza debuted, journalism won Los Alamitos Futurity. After his career debut last December, Baeza finished second in early January behind Rodriguez. Baeza then improved significantly in his third career start in February, winning by 4¾ length, earning a career-high 104 horse speed. Given that he was running almost as fast as journalism and improving, trainer John Sirev entered Baeza in the Santa Anita Derby. This was a race that was enough to sacrifice victory as the lack of experience compared to journalism ran and ran on an eighth of the miles and was handed over to more experienced racehorses. Nonetheless, Baeza has improved to a new career-high 107 numbers.

Then the Kentucky Derby came. There, it turns out that differences in experience are important again. Baeza started at the end of the 19 in the Derby, but he was 15th after half a mile, several times long of the sovereignty of the final winner, but Baeza was suffering from traffic difficulties as he was placed behind the horse about a fifth of the mile behind the horse. Baeza came in seventh in a quarter mile, while journalism was third and sovereignty was fourth. He was quickly closed from that point on to the finish line, but Baeza was unable to make up for the deficit in the final stages, getting fired behind runner-up journalism, reaching the 1¾ length behind the winner’s sovereignty.

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Now, a month later, the difference in experience can be ignored, Baeza needs to go by to win with up to seven horses, not 19 years old. With these factors in mind, I think Baeza will be able to post a slight upset and win this race.

sovereignty He scored a career-high 103 horse speed figure in the derby this year in Belmont distance. It’s no surprise that the sovereignty that wins the Belmont stakes. Journalism In the final race speed figure of 109, he showed what made thoroughbred races very exciting when he insisted on himself to win Preakness after being blocked at the top of the stretch. You can expect another “A” race by this Carlin son.

In both cases Rodriguez and raw If done as expected, there is no scenario other than the scenario that is likely to be passed on to Baeza, journalism, and sovereignty in the later stages, once the two fight for early hegemony. Rodriguez scored a Field High 111 Equiver Speed ​​number when he won Wood Memorial when leading from start to finish over two months ago. Like Rodriguez, who is the same as Rodriguez, we can’t see Kurds make Rodriguez lead easily as both of his victory came when both of his victory came from the beginning. Crudo hopes to improve his 99 and 100 speed figure patterns in his last two races, but there’s no reason to think he’s going to be able to change his running style and relax the second most when he doesn’t do that in the past.

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The rest of the field (there are the best typical Equiver speed figures): Heart of Honor (108), Hill Road (99), and Uncaged (84).

Top winner:

Baeza

sovereignty

Journalism

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