Ranking top candidates for Wimbledon 2025

21 Min Read

Arrivals on the Wimbledon tennis calendar signifies that they’re very completely different on the women and men’s facet of the tour.

For males, Wimbledon represents maybe probably the most predictable of all slums. Within the final 20 years, solely 12 gamers have reached the Gentleman closing. Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic have made up greater than half of the 40 spots within the closing, with Djokovic taking up the final six finals, successful 4 wins and shedding the final two to Carlos Alcaraz. In the meantime, Alkaraz has gained the previous 4 slams on pure surfaces (clay or grass). When you simply need to fill him within the finals already, that is cheap.

However on the ladies’s facet, issues are a lot completely different. Regardless of a quite distinct hierarchy shaped over the ladies’s tour, Iga Swaitek, Alina Sabalenka and Koko Gauff have gained 9 of the final 10 slams on exhausting courts or clay. Over the previous 4 years, the All-England Garden Tennis and Crockett Membership has given us 13 completely different semi-finals. Grass is the final word signal of greatness for males and a random consequence generator for girls.

So the 2025 version of this famend event gives a quite apparent storyline. Alcaraz, Jjokovic and World No. 1 Jannik Sinner are male draw runaways, however each Sabalenka and Gauff face powerful attracts and everybody can guess how the ladies’s event will play out with the randomness grass providing. Stroll the gamers most definitely to outline two weeks of Wimbledon in 2025.

favourite

Carlos Alcalaz

ESPN Wager Odds: +125 | Tennis Summary Odds: 54.2%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents: No. 8 Holger Rune (quarterfinals)

A brand new off from victory within the 2020s finest slam finals – his epic comeback in opposition to the sinners on the French Open – Alcaraz cruised his lonely grass court docket tune-up and defeated Giri Lehecca to win at Queens Membership per week in the past.

It’s unfair to check younger gamers to the Huge Three requirements (Federer, Djokovic, Rafael Nadal). However Alkaraz makes it inconceivable keep away from These comparisons. Nadal gained 4 slam titles earlier than his twenty second birthday, however Djokovic and Federer solely gained one every. Alcaraz gained for the fifth time a month after turning 22. He boasts of the cruel consistency of the sinner, however as confirmed within the later set in opposition to the sinners in Paris, his A-game and uncooked the wrong way up are unparalleled. His capacity to adapt and improvise in distinctive circumstances might change into a favourite of all French Open or Wimbledon that he has entered for the subsequent decade.

Jannik Sinner

ESPN Wager Odds: +190 | Tennis Summary Odds: 6.6%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 7 Lorenzom Setti (quarter-finals)

Since mid-August, the sinners have been 48-4-0-3, 0-3 in opposition to Alkaraz and 48-1 in opposition to everybody else. He misplaced three units to the ferocious Alexander Babrik within the German Halle per week in the past, reaching the Wimbledon semi-final in 2023, however has not been confirmed in grass far more than the opposite surfaces.

A sinner’s draw is a problem. Even earlier than probably assembly Djokovic on the GOAT’s finest floor within the semis (and, presumably, Alcaraz within the closing), he might face 2021 semifinalist Denis Shapovalov within the third spherical, 2024 quarterfinalist Tommy Paul or 2014 semifinalist Grigor Dimitrov within the fourth spherical and 2024 semifinalist Lorenzo Musetti or big-serving Ben Shelton within the quarterfinals. He does not have a lot time to search out the fifth gear, but it surely’s exhausting to go in opposition to him to do a giant run.

Alina Sabalenka

ESPN Wager Odds: +240 | Tennis Summary Odds: 19.3%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 6 Madison Keys or 9 Paula Badosa (quarterfinals)

The one factor Sabalenka lacked in 2025 is a good closing act. She reached the finals in seven of the ten tournaments she participated in, however misplaced 4 of her previous six finals, together with the Australian Open and the Key and the French Open. (And regardless of the additional observe, her post-final concession speech might use somewhat extra work.)

She reached the semi-finals on every of her final two Wimbledon journeys, and in a preview of the potential finals, she lasted longer than Berlin’s Elena Rivakina per week in the past, saving 4 match factors on the tiebreaker within the closing set. Like a sinner, she wants to amass this. Her draw might be featured both within the third spherical of 2023 champion Marketa Vondrousova, native favorite Emmaradukanu or Nottingham champions, with the fourth two semifinalist Elinas Vitrina, quarterfinal keys and semis’ closing 2024 Jasmine Paoolini. That is a tough highway, however Sabalenka is probably the most dependable factor on the ladies’s tour.

See also  Alex Ira defeated Valbara Gracheva to advance to the Eastbourne Open Finals

Novak Djokovic

ESPN Wager Odds: +550 | Tennis Summary Odds: 21.1%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 4 Jack Draper (quarter-finals)

When you want a reminder that Djokovic’s requirements stay ridiculously excessive, you have obtained it in Paris. The 2025 season options extra persistent accidents, and at one level, his first three matches in seven years misplaced, his run to the French Open Semi-Finals undoubtedly inspired. He gained 4 straight set matches in a row – he did not should play his personal path into type – and defeated Alexander Zverev in 4 units earlier than falling right into a sinner within the semi-finals. And even in opposition to the sinner, he by no means misplaced the set in a number of breaks (6-4, 7-5, 7-6). Nevertheless, he was notably emotional as he left the court docket, after which admitted that he is perhaps nearer than ever to retirement. I believe we’re all like that.

He emptyed his bag of methods, however his lack of ability to steal a set from the sinner clearly made him really feel so deadly. It was most likely the identical as smoking Alkaraz eventually 12 months’s Wimbledon Finals (6-2, 6-2, 7-6). Nevertheless, if the 24-time slam champion reaches No. 25, he’ll possible arrive on the All England Membership. He lifted the trophy seven occasions and misplaced it solely twice since 2017. His draw is difficult. Nevertheless, Djokovic doesn’t want many breaks to go deeper into the second week.

Coco Gouf

ESPN Wager Odds: +550 | Tennis Summary Odds: 8.7%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 8 Iga Swiatek (quarterfinals)

Solely 21 years outdated, Gauff has already gained two slam titles, a 2024 WTA Last victory, two different 1000-level titles and a slam doubles title. And he or she did this regardless of struggles along with her serve and her forehand occasionally – she has clear room for enhancements to advance. Yikes.

However she remains to be ready for a breakthrough at Wimbledon. The 2019 upset for 15-year-old five-time champion Venus Williams was the primary large second of her profession, however she has solely gained eight whole matches prior to now 4 Wimbledon journeys. And, like Sabalenka, the draw gave her some advantages: Gouf might face Sofia Kenin, who was revived within the third spherical – Kenin upset her within the first spherical two years in the past – earlier than assembly Swaite or Ribakina within the quarter closing. However even at this early stage of her profession, Gauff has confirmed that she’s not the most effective favourite.

Elena Rivakina

ESPN Wager Odds: +550 | Tennis Summary Odds: 5.4%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 8 Iga Swiatek (4th spherical)

Rybakina is a proverb large recreation participant. Beginning with an unimaginable run to the 2022 Wimbledon title, she is 12-8 within the final 20 semifinals and 7-5 within the final 12 finals. She gained 4 of her previous seven in opposition to Sabalenka and cut up her previous eight in opposition to Swiatek. Rybakina has dealt with many teaching dramas over the previous 12 months, struggling 4 upset losses in opposition to gamers over 80. Nevertheless, her A-game stays epic.

Rybakina has the best serve of the highest gamers. She has gained 63% of her service factors this 12 months, incomes many of the high 50 gamers – 16-2 at Wimbledon prior to now three years. She could should defeat Swiatek within the fourth spherical, however she must defeat Gauff in 1 / 4, however on account of the opportunity of a wager, she’s going to play with Gauff to succeed in the ultimate from the underside half of the draw.

You solely have to take a couple of breaks

Iga Swiatek

ESPN Wager Odds: +850 | Tennis Summary Odds: 8.4%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 2 Coco Gauff (quarter-finals)

It was an odd 12 months for the five-time SLAM champion. The Slam Champion fell to eighth within the WTA rankings earlier than this week’s robust present at Unhealthy Homburg. (Swiatek performed Jessica Pegula within the closing and returned to fourth place.) Swiatek misplaced 10 video games this 12 months than he misplaced in all of 2024. You will be stunned if her first cicadas come this 12 months, as Rybakina and Gauff are in her method.

See also  Daniil Medvedev faces Bublik in Halle Final and defeats Zverev

Jack Draper

ESPN Wager Odds: +1600 | Tennis Summary Odds: 1.9%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 6 Novak Jjokovic (quarterfinals)

In the meantime, the 23-year-old enjoys a groundbreaking season, shaking the Indian Wells title by increase the 2024 US Open Semi-Last, reaching two different finals, reaching fourth on the earth.

In the meantime, he’s all the time 2-3 in Wimbledon, his residence slums, and 20-14 in Grass. Draper defeated Alkaraz at Queen’s Membership final 12 months and made a strong semi-final this 12 months, however smoking sizzling Alexander Bablik might probably be ready for him within the third spherical, and Djokovic on the dormitory didn’t profit him.

Madison Keys

ESPN Wager Odds: +1200 | Tennis Summary Odds: 3.0%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (quarterfinals)

The Australian Open Champion reached a career-high fifth place within the week of her thirtieth birthday, turning into 11-1 within the slams this season after the French Open quarterfinals. The Keys are the anticipated favorites to succeed in the 2 Wimbledon quarter finals and attain the quarterfinals in opposition to Sabalenka. Nevertheless, she dropped her previous two grass court docket matches in straight units with grass court docket specialists Tatijana Maria and Martera Vondorsova.

MarketApoutova Market

ESPN Wager Odds: +1600 | Tennis Summary Odds: 2.2%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 1 Aryna Sabirlaka

Vondrousova has withstanded arc of pleasure fairly a bit after successful Wimbledon in 2023. She was upset within the first spherical final 12 months and missed many of the subsequent seven months with accidents. She misplaced 5 of her first 11 matches in 2025, however headed Beat Keys, Diana Shnaider, Ons Jabeur and Sabalenka (on a straight set, much less) in the direction of the Grass Berlin title. Nonetheless ranked 73rd, Vondrousova drew McCartney Kessler within the first spherical, and from there it might have been adopted by Raducanu and Sabalenka. That is a tough draw, however unorthodox left-handed individuals might be troublesome.

Others: The Delivery of Andreeva (+1200), Qinwen Zheng (+1800), Jasmine Paolini (+2200), Jessica Pegula (+2200), Alexander of Zverev (+2500)

They love Wimbledon (and/or the Court docket of Grass)

Elina Svitolina

ESPN Wager Odds: +3300 | Tennis Summary Odds: 3.4%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (4th spherical)

The 30-year-old has reestablished his cruising altitude since his post-masculinity comeback in 2023, reaching the five-quarter closing in his final 9 slams. Subitrina is 9-2 at Wimbledon in that vary. She is comparatively upset at this level – over the previous 12 months she is 3-7 in opposition to high 5 opponents, however 39-9 in opposition to everybody else (.813 win charge) – and she or he is a favourite projected to succeed in 16 rounds in opposition to Sabalenka.

ESPN Wager Odds: +3300 | Tennis Summary Odds: 1.5%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 9 Danil Medvedev (4th spherical)

We have talked rather a lot about powerful attracts to date, however Fritz most likely appreciated his draw fairly a bit. Certainly, he includes a large Giovannim Pezzi or Peroliseed within the first spherical, and may introduce No. 26 Alejandro Davidevich Fokina (his semi-final opponent at Eastbourne) and Daniil Medvedev within the fourth spherical. Nevertheless, Fritz landed within the quarter of Alexander Zverev, who’s 5-0 with Zverev for the previous 12 months. If Fritz survives a tough early check, he’s in the suitable quarter for an enormous run.

Alexander Babrik

ESPN Wager Odds: +3300 | Tennis Summary Odds: 0.7%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 4 Jack Draper (third spherical)

Clearly, his dropout from the ATP Prime 50 was the awakening name of the mysterious Babrik, who has gained 9 of 9 of his final 11 video games within the clay court docket season. He might be hit or lose anybody on the sector, and he may very well be a serious third spherical impediment for Draper, which may very well be probably the most attention-grabbing and potential week-long match in a male draw.

ESPN Wager Odds: +4000 | Tennis Summary Odds: 0.5%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 10 Emmanavaro (third spherical)

One of many greatest doubles gamers of the period (seven slam doubles titles), Krejcikova is all the time an unpredictable determine in single attracts. Within the final 12 slams, she has solely gained 20 video games, however she gained seven video games final 12 months at Wimbledon Run. She has solely performed six video games this 12 months on account of accidents and needed to withdraw in Eastbourne this week on account of thigh points. There’s not a lot probability of her operating large, but when she creates momentum, go outdoors.

See also  Injured Hubert Hurkacz withdraws from Wimbledon

Lorenzo Musetti

ESPN Wager Odds: +5000 | Tennis Summary Odds: 3.3%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 10 Ben Shelton (4th spherical)

It was a quiet and great 52 weeks for the 23-year-old Italian. Musetti has reached two semifinals of the previous 4 slams (Wimbledon final 12 months and French Open this 12 months) and has gone above the semifinals in three straight 1000-level occasions. In his final 5 tournaments, he has solely misplaced to Djokovic, Alkaraz or Draper. Touchdown within the Thinner quarter was not type, however Musetti is at the least a favourite to succeed in the quarterfinals.

Others: Daniil Medvedev (2023-24 semifinalist, +3300), Jelena Ostapenko (2024 Quarterist, +3300), Jiri Lehecka (+4000), Ons Javaur (2022-23 finalist, +5000), Emma Navarro (2024 Quarterist, +5000), Alex, +5000), Alex, +5000), +5000), Ekaterina Alexandrova (+5000), Hubert Hurkacz (2021 Semifinalist, +6600), Tommy Paul (2024 Quarterist, +6600), Donna Vekic (2024 Semifinist, 100-1), Tatjana Maria Grigor Dimitrov (2014 Semifinals, 100-1), Cameron Norry (2022 Semifinals, 300-1), Lulu San (2024 Quarters

I am ready for a surge

ESPN Wager Odds: +4000 | Tennis Summary Odds: 0.2%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 5 Qinwen Zheng (2nd spherical)

In Tennis Summary’s ELO rankings, Naomi osaka ranked thirty first on the earth, though it’s based mostly on efficiency high quality, quite than factors acquired within the event. It’s clearly beneath her maternal requirements, but it surely’s fairly good. Nevertheless, she is just 56th within the essential rankings because the slam is price so many WTA rating factors that she will be able to’t get a great slam draw to save lots of her life.

In every of her final six slams, Osaka needed to face a high 20 opponent by the second spherical. She almost beat Sweitz on the 2024 French Open and within the subsequent spherical he hit No. 10 Jelena Ostapenko on the US Open simply to come back throughout ferocious former high 10 participant Karolina Mciba. She put Muchiba on high on the Australian Open however needed to withdraw from the subsequent spherical on account of accidents. She delved deep into Paula Badosa into the third set of the French Open, however misplaced.

Was her Wimbledon kindly portrayed? not a lot. She’s going to most likely should face No. 5 Qinwen Zheng within the second spherical, and though she is principally all the time splitting 9 units with Zheng, she misplaced solely assembly in Grass (this was not her finest floor). The breakthrough hunt will possible observe the exhausting court docket season.

Others: Emma Raducanu (+5000), Karolina Muchova (+5000), Holger Rune (+6600)

American sleeper

ESPN Wager Odds: +2500 | Tennis Summary Odds: 2.0%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 4 Jasmine Paolini (4th spherical)

After taking off the tour for a lot of 2023, Anishimova returned to the highest 40 in 2024 and surged in 2025. A minimum of if she survives a tough first-round matchup with Yulia Putintseva, she may very well be a menace in Paolini’s quarter with heavy floor strokes and above common returns.

Ben Shelton

ESPN Wager Odds: +5000 | Tennis Summary Odds: <0.1%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 7 Lorenzom Setti (4th spherical)

It is simple to assume, “Huge serve? It is high quality on the grass!” However that is a bit outdated impression, with 22-year-old Shelton nonetheless not fixing the floor. He was solely 8-10 on the grass, and he misplaced to Wimbledon for the third straight time. Nonetheless, the spherical of the 2024 Wimbledon spherical suggests potential, and the hypothetical fourth matchup with Musetti (with the winner and the sinner preventing) is totally dynamite.

Others: Sofia Kenin (100-1), Ashlyn Kruger (100-1), Francis Tiafoe (100-1), McCartney Kessler (200-1)

Younger individuals

ESPN Wager Odds: +6600 | Tennis Summary Odds: <0.1%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 4 Jack Draper (4th spherical)

The hard-hit 19-year-old is without doubt one of the few males who truly used Janik Thinner’s three-month spring suspension, successful a 1000-level Miami title previous Fritz and Djokovic. He is been 8-7 ever since (2-2 in grass), however the fundamentals of his recreation are robust, and a semi-doll draw would possibly give him an honest shot on the run to at the least the fourth spherical.

ESPN Wager Odds: 300-1 | Tennis Summary Odds: <0.1%
First Potential Prime 10 Opponents:No. 8 Holger Rune (2nd Spherical)

He will not be hit exhausting by fellow youngsters Mensik and Joa Fonseca, however his left-handed and sometimes glorious service returns make him tough. And he is oddly superior to the highest gamers – he is solely 17-16 in 2025, however 3-1 in opposition to high 10 opponents who gained for Medvedev (Australian Open), Zverev (Acapulco) and Shelton (Mallorca) on the grass. He obtained an opportunity to rune within the fourth high 10 within the second spherical.

Others: Diana Shnaider (+5000), Marta Kostyuk (+6600), Linda Noskova (+6600), Joao Fonseca (100-1), Gabriel Dialo (100-1), Clara Tauson (100-1)

Share This Article
Leave a comment