Saturday’s $2 million, Grade 1 Ainsworth Franklin-Simpson Stakes on the Kentucky Downs, will happen at a unprecedented 6 1/2 furlong (1/13/16 mile) on the Turf. It is longer than a typical grass dash, however a lot shorter than a mile.
Distance could show to be inappropriate for another scary candidates. #4 Dream He excels in a single mile race and received the Grade 3 Pen Mile Stakes, ending third within the Grade 1 BET365 Summer season Stakes final September. Nevertheless, decreasing the gap is a query mark as he misplaced his solely begin earlier than and sprinted by 6 1/2 furlongs.
#7 Governor Sam You face the alternative impediment. Pace Colt received the Thoroughbred Retirement Basis, Keeneland Choose, Rosie’s Stakes within the Train System, and Grade 3 Fast Name Stakes introduced by Indian Summer season Stakes introduced by Tyro Stakes under 5 1/2 furlong. Nevertheless, he has by no means tried any longer, and his previous performances counsel that Race 6 1/2 Furlong would possibly prolong his stamina restrict.
In distinction, Juddmonte Homebred #8 Spice Up Apparently the proper 6 1/2 furlong, the promising colt is my primary alternative.
Spice Up made his grass debut with a particular approach race of the maiden. After ranking a number of lengths behind the quick fraction of 21.51 and :43.85, he clearly gave his energy to win at 2 3/4 size at 1:07.43.
The impression was repeated final month when Spice Up was stepped up in school for a Grade 3 Mahoney Stake sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs in Saratoga. After falling to 7 1/2 size behind a fierce division of 21.15 and: 43.71, I packed the bottom with a stretch to defeat Governor Sam at 1 1/4 size at 1:01.22.
Spiceup can get extra proof at Franklin Simpson, so if he has the chance to convey the grass report to an ideal 3-for-3, he’ll get each alternative.
Relying in your stake funds, we advocate guess spices to win and possibly play him on Dream on, Gogner Sam, and Sam, and above him #11 Bail Second place.
Bail exhibits versatility when it comes to distance. He completed second in Rosie’s stakes and Indian summer time stakes, sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs and completed second with a dream of a one mile pen mile. Maybe 6 1/2 furlong will probably be a candy spot on bail.
Betting Methods on a $10 Price range
#8 $10 to win with boost
What to say within the betting window: Kentucky Downs, $10 to win in races 10, 8
Betting Technique on a $30 Price range
#8 $18 to win with boost
What to say within the betting window: Kentucky Downs, $10 to win in races 10, 8
$4 exacta: 8 with 4,7,11 (Whole price: $12)
What to say within the betting window: Kentucky Downs, race 10, 4,7,11 at 4 $4 Exacta 8
Good luck and benefit from the race!
