Saturday $800,000, Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Problem Cup Stakes Offered by Dixiana Highlights the second weekend of stay racing at Keeneland’s 2025 Fall Horse Racing, that includes 9 3-year-old fillies competing.
rush lips He completed runner-up within the 1 1/18-mile Del Mar Oaks Offered by Keeneland Gross sales on grass (identical circumstances as QE II) in August, and can return to the high-profile Brendan Walsh steady with Tyler Gaffalione using him. lorelin He’s a 5-2 favourite on the morning line for this race, and has had an ideal document in his 5 profession begins, together with back-to-back stakes wins within the Pennsylvania Oaks and a career-best 102 Equibase Pace Determine in his earlier outing, the Fasig-Tipton-Saratoga Oaks Invitational Stakes. After scratching on the First Woman Stakes at Keeneland final week. Simmering Coach Ollie Sangster will make his North American debut with QE II, and Sangster may also make his first race in the USA. daisy flyer After a troublesome begin within the Blackwood Duel Grounds Oaks Invitational Stakes held at Kentucky Downs, he enters this race with a big group with 20 wins and 1 loss within the morning. After a latest valiant effort in opposition to a graded stakes firm in New York; luxurious restraint He’s striving for his first win in a 3-year-old race for coach Chad Brown. sweet quest He has been steadily enhancing since April and simply achieved a career-best consequence at Duel Grounds Oaks with a 104 equal base pace determine. golden future He was the odds-on post-time favourite at Duel Grounds Oaks, ending sixth behind Fionn and Sweet Quest. Destino d’Oro gained the Packer Up Stakes by 3 3/4 lengths in his earlier outing, and was changed by Irad Ortiz Jr. on Saturday. Will Zen He additionally ran within the Del Mar Oaks in his final race, ending in fifth place, simply 1 3/4 lengths behind Velocity and Rush Lip. Frankie Dettori rode in his profession debut and this will likely be his first time using a horse since that race. Fionn I pulled the surface submit with QE II. She is contemporary off a win within the Dueling Grounds Oaks, incomes her fourth consecutive triple-digit equibase from coach Brad Cox, and was retained by Flavien Prat in QE II.
Evaluation and essential candidates:
Fionn, An awfully proficient filly out of Twirling Sweet, she has by no means used up her prize cash in eight profession races, successful six, two and three. She took her first win by four-and-a-quarter lengths in her second profession begin on turf on the Fairgrounds in December 2024 and hasn’t regarded again since, ending prime of the cash listing amongst all 3-year-old fillies in 2025. His solely loss this 12 months got here when he completed third within the Japan Racing Affiliation’s Appalachian Stakes at Keeneland. She is an ideal horse and ran a mile on grass that was shorter than she would have favored. On one 3-for-3 QE II journey on grass for 1 1/8 miles, I went 2-for-2 within the 1/16 mile. Following Appalachian, she broke out as a serious cash winner within the 1 1/8-mile Remorse Stakes at Churchill Downs, incomes a determine of 106 equibases. Her most spectacular efficiency got here within the following Belmont Oaks Invitational Stakes, the place she narrowly edged out the excellent filly Nitrogen, who had gained 5 graded stakes on grass and dust, to repeat her 106 Equibase tally for her first G1 victory. After two months of freshening up, Fionn returned with a pointy efficiency within the Duel Grounds Oaks at Kentucky Downs, stretching out to 1 5/16 miles on the turf and posting numbers of 105 to take the half-length victory. This 105 ranks with the best closing beginning equibase pace determine amongst Queen Elizabeth II mares, and horses with the best closing beginning equibase pace figures in graded stakes have gained at a clip of 27% in 583 begins over the previous 12 months. Brad Cox and Flavien Prat, North America’s top-money coach and jockey in 2025, have mixed for a 32% win price from 118 begins in all races this 12 months and have gained at a 25% clip within the graded races over the previous three seasons. Over the previous 45 days, Cox and Pratt have mixed on horses which have gained 4 of eight races on turf. Fionn ticks all of the bins and appears set to ship one other top-level efficiency as he seeks his second Grade 1 win.
lorelin She is the one undefeated filly on this discipline, and is a morning line favourite who began her profession with 5 wins in 5 races, together with a career-best 102 Equibase Pace Determine when she ran by 3/4 of a size in her final race on the Saratoga Oaks Invitational. Three of her wins got here on one mile of turf. However she proved in her profession debut, particularly the 1-3/16-mile Saratoga Oaks, that stretching past a mile was no drawback. Kendrick Carmouche has remained with Lorelan since that race, and has ridden fillies in 4 of her 5 profession begins. Contemplating Carmouche has not raced at Keeneland this time and has raced at Keeneland solely twice previously 5 years, it is an amazing signal for him to go away New York to experience this proficient mare for coach Graham Movement. Movement is especially well-regarded as a turf coach, with a 29% win price in 52 begins for horses final raced on turf over the previous 12 months. Laurelin has improved her equibase pace numbers in each begin of her profession and will likely be powerful to beat in her first G1 begin on Saturday.
rush lips On the Del Mar Oaks, he got here in second on 1 1/8 miles of grass, ending a half-length behind Velocity after a late begin. There was just one filly on this race, Slick, who completed sixth, then returned to the race, and her subsequent runner gained at Santa Anita Park. Rush Lipps did not win the primary two races of his profession in Eire, ending ninth in his North American debut within the first particular class race at Kentucky Downs final September. After switching to the Brendan Walsh observe, she rapidly turned issues round, scoring her first win by seven lengths over a mile and 70 yards on the all-weather observe at Gulfstream Park and posting a gate-to-wire rating within the 1 1/16-mile allowance choice race on Gulfstream turf to start out the 2025 season. Rush Lips went on to document two sharp second-place finishes behind Nitrogen within the Accenture-sponsored Florida Oaks and Edgewood Stakes, then gained the Tepin Stakes at Churchill Downs by a landslide 3 3/4 lengths, incomes a career-high (and greatest within the discipline) 107 Equibase Pace Determine in a one-mile race on turf. Regardless of ending runner-up in her most up-to-date begins, the filly has been surprisingly constant since becoming a member of Walshburn and has by no means used up her prize cash. Traditionally, horses that come out of second place on the G1 degree have gained 29% of their subsequent main stakes makes an attempt previously 12 months (94 begins). Rush Lips, ridden by Tyler Gaffalione and in prime type by Walsh Byrne, deserves our utmost respect.
The remainder of the sector has posted the best Equibase pace numbers in related races. Simmering (Not relevant), daisy flyer (101), luxurious restraint (104), sweet quest (104), golden future (105), and Will Zen (101).
Get candidates by precedence:
Fionn
lorelin
rush lips
