7 million {dollars} Longines Breeders’ Cup Basic Del Mar’s Nov. 1 race misplaced a lot of its luster when the 3-year-old horse Sovarienti, who had taken the lead on Oct. 29, withdrew from the race on account of sickness. Nonetheless, the 1 1/4-mile Basic options one of many strongest fields in recent times, with the highest three horses from final 12 months’s Basic (Sierra Leone, Fierceness and Eternally Younger) within the lead, in addition to 3-year-old stars Journalism and Baeza, in addition to some fascinating contenders.
Learn the Breeders’ Cup Basic trifecta betting technique from the group at America’s Greatest Racing and use ABR’s helpful playing calculator to place collectively your bets.
Dan Tordjman:
When desirous about easy methods to guess on the Breeders’ Cup Basic, I attempted to consider a number of eventualities for the way the tempo would play out. After all, everyone seems to be wanting ahead to it. #4 Reverse pondering The goal is to get to the entrance, however then the problem is to foretell how the sphere will unfold out behind him. Logically, I might count on #10 Vintage seller Transfer early to safe a front-line place and attempt to cover behind contrarian pondering. It also needs to be featured on that second flight #3 Nevada Seaside and #1 Fierceness. Is it attainable that the remaining riders behind Opposite Pondering simply let the entrance runners go with out placing any stress on them? I feel so. And I feel that additionally makes the participant who places the horse on the board.
As for the remainder of the horses, those that at all times appear to return up and have the least query marks for me are: #5 Eternally Younger, #7 Sierra Leone and #9 Journalism. I might rank journalism a bit decrease. As a result of he is a 3-year-old in a subject with actually skilled older horses. He has one other lengthy and difficult season in 2025. As , Sierra Leone received this race final 12 months at the exact same filth monitor in Del Mar, and he had one other stable 12 months. Eternally Younger is in the identical camp as established 4-year-old horses. He ought to have executed higher finally 12 months’s Basic, however nonetheless completed a powerful third place.
That being stated, I might put Eternally Younger and Sierra Leone within the prime spot, adopted by Opposite Pondering and Journalism to kind a trifecta ticket. To be sincere, nearly anybody can end third on this subject, so I might play the “ALL” ticket for final, and the opposite ticket to raised lock within the prime three or 4 spots.
Technique for a $50 price range:
$0.50 Trifecta: fifth place Eternally Younger and seventh place Sierra Leone and 4th place: “Contrarian Pondering”, fifth place: “Eternally Younger”, seventh place: “Sierra Leone”, ninth place: “Journalism” and All ($21)
3 {dollars} 1 greenback: #5 Eternally Younger and third place: Nevada Seaside, 4th place: Conflicting Ideas, seventh place: Sierra Leone, ninth place: Journalism, tenth place: Antiquarian, and third place Nevada Seaside, 4th place Opposite Pondering, seventh place Sierra Leone, ninth place Journalism, tenth place Antiquarian ($20)
3 {dollars} 2 consecutive: fifth place Eternally Younger and seventh place Sierra Leone and fifth place Eternally Younger and seventh place Sierra Leone and #4 Conflicting Ideas and #9 Journalism ($8)
Noel Michaels:
With Sovereignty faraway from the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Basic, this race now seems to be like a rematch of the 2024 Breeders’ Cup Basic, which Breeders’ Cup Basic received. #7 Sierra Leone So if you are going to be handicapped on this 12 months’s Basic, that is the place it is advisable begin.
Sierra Leone improved late within the season with a victory within the G1 Whitney Stakes at Saratoga, and he fought arduous to complete second within the G1 Jockey Membership Gold Cup Stakes at Spa, regardless of being hampered early within the race when he needed to keep away from a fallen jockey by Thoughts Body. Talking of which #8 Thoughts bodyhe had an amazing season however hasn’t raced since June twenty eighth and to me, that is not the best way to enter a successful run in opposition to a really robust Basic subject.
Final 12 months’s traditional #1 Fierceness I used to be in second place, and #5 Eternally Younger I ran third place. Each horses have a authentic probability to show the tide in opposition to Sierra Leone within the 2025 Basic. The rivalry between Eternally Younger and Sierra Leone truly dates again to the 2024 Kentucky Derby Offered by Woodford Reserve, the place the 2 completed an in depth second and third. The distinction maker for the Breeders’ Cup may very well be the Eternally Younger fall pre-season race held in Japan final month. He received simply after a summer season refreshment. In the meantime, Sierra Leone and Fierceness averted fall prep races. This race seems to be like Eternally Younger’s finest probability to upset his nemesis and finally win.
A trio of notable 3-year-olds are gearing as much as tackle older horses within the Basic. #2 Baeza, #3 Nevada Seasideand #9 Journalism He is a sensible candidate with good odds. However Baeza was unbeatable within the Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby, and Journalism was soundly defeated by Fierceness when the 2 met within the Grade 1 Pacific Basic Stakes at Del Mar this summer season. An ignored 3-year-old is Nevada Seaside, a frivolously raced however clearly enhancing coach Bob Baffert who may very well be an element within the longshot odds, at the very least in singles and trifectas.
Technique for a $60 price range:
$2 trifecta field: #1 Fierceness, #3 Nevada Seaside, #5 Eternally Younger, #7 Sierra Leone ($48)
3 {dollars} 2 consecutive: #5 Eternally Younger and 1st place Depth, third place Nevada Seaside, seventh place Sierra Leone, and #1 Intense, #3 Nevada Seaside, #7 Sierra Leone ($12)
Mike Curry:
My feeling on this race was that Sovereignty ought to have misplaced earlier than he received scratched up by the warmth. 9 of the final 26 races on this race have been received by three-year-old horses, and he was in excellent kind. Time to regulate…
I feel the 3-year-old horse remains to be doing properly, so #2 Baeza, #3 Nevada Seasideand #9 Journalism Will probably be featured prominently on my ticket. I’ve additionally believed in final 12 months’s Breeders’ Cup Basic runner-up for a very long time #5 Eternally Youngerwho would I select to win this 12 months’s race?
My unique plan was to fade out the older horses within the classics. I nonetheless intend to take action to some extent, however not as strongly as I supposed to take Sovereignty out of the race. My ticket consists of Eternally Younger and Baeza on the prime. use #1 Fierceness 2nd and third place contemplating he has run very properly at Del Mar and consists of final 12 months’s winner. #7 Sierra Leone Thirdly. Baeza-Eternally Younger additionally hits the Ecsta field.
Technique for a $24 price range:
$1 trifecta: 2nd place Baeza and fifth place Eternally Younger and 1st place: Fierceness, 2nd place: Baeza, fifth place: Eternally Younger, ninth place: Journalism and 1st Ferocity, 2nd Baeza, third Nevada Seaside, fifth Eternally Younger, seventh Sierra Leone, ninth Journalism ($24)
Patrick Reed:
Even with out sovereignty, this 12 months’s Breeders’ Cup Basic is a superb betting race. 8 out of 9 horses entered have an opportunity of successful (sorry, #)4 Reverse pondering). For me, the important thing to the race is how jockeys John Velasquez and Luis Saez experience. #1 Fierceness and #10 Vintage sellerrespectively, react to the presence of “Rabbit” Opposite Pondering, who was entered to set a quick tempo with plans to help stablemate Sierra Leone within the remaining rally.
If Opposite Pondering hadn’t been on this race, I, like many different horses, would have positioned Fierceness as a menace to win the Basic gate-to-wire. Velasquez rode each Fierceness and Antiquarian to victory in his remaining preparation for the Basic, however he’s sticking with Fierceness on Saturday, so Luis Saez, who can also be an excellent lead rider, will get his first leg up on Antiquarian for the primary time. For my part, if each jockeys can experience properly out of the gate from inside (Fierce) and outdoors (Antiquarian) submit positions, they may get in proper behind Opposite Sinking, look ahead to the precise second, and cost previous him into the lead for the far flip.
If that occurs, each runners will attempt to keep forward of the remainder of the pack. And whereas there may be an excessive amount of expertise among the many horses on this 12 months’s Basic for a pace horse to interrupt by way of and dominate, it is attainable that both Fierceness or Antiquarian has sufficient left over to hold round within the homestretch and win.
So we key on each primarily based on the $1 trifecta. #7 Sierra Leone and enhance #2 Baeza He joined them in second place, with all horses besides Contra Triking in third place. Subsequent, guess $2 on the trifecta of Fierceness and Antiquarian for 1st and 2nd place, and Baeza and Sierra Leone for third place. #8 Thoughts bodyAs with the Todd Pletcher-trained Fierceness and Antiquarian, I am significantly curious to see him ridden by Airad Ortiz Jr., however like my colleague Noel Michaels above, I might wager he hasn’t cranked it up sufficient to win or end second on this extremely aggressive traditional since his final significant race in June, a very long time in the past.
Technique for a $50 price range:
$1 trifecta: #1 Ferocious and #10 Antiquarian and #1 Fierceness, #2 Baeza, #7 Sierra Leone, and #10 Antiquarian, and #1 Wild, #2 Baeza, #3 Nevada Seaside, #5 Eternally Younger, #7 Sierra Leone, #8 Mindframe, #9 Journalism, #10 Antiquities ($42)
$2 trifecta: $1 Intense and #10 Antiquarian and #1 ferocity and #10 antiquarian, and #2 Baeza and #7 Sierra Leone ($8)
