Churchill Downs’ November competitors continues to ring in because the Thanksgiving vacation weekend approaches, and Saturday’s card will showcase the game’s usually neglected each day battles within the 2025 Declare Crown Collection. Other than the 9 Declare Crown Starter Allowance races, Churchill additionally has a $300,000 Grade 3 race out there. Chirukki Stakes Offered by Resolute Racing For mares and mares 3 years of age and older.
Chirukki is held on filth with a distance of 1 mile per nook, making a area that features each sprinters stretching out and two-corner runners shortening the gap. This 12 months’s race attracted seven horses, with Godolphin’s home-bred horses attracting consideration. #7 Ragtimeis a horse that received the G3 Stakes at this observe in September, and can be quick. #2 Shred the gnarThis shall be his first begin since Could 2, when he beat Twinspires by seven lengths within the 1 1/6-mile allowance race on the undercard of the Longines Kentucky Oaks.
Ragtime has by no means had a foul race in seven begins, with Corridor of Fame coach Invoice Mott posting three wins, together with two wins and one third place. In two begins earlier this fall, he overcame a sluggish begin to win the seven-furlong G3 Dogwood Stakes offered by Resolute Racing by two and 1 / 4 lengths, then struggled in the beginning, however bounced again strongly and misplaced by a half size to 3rd place within the G2 Lexus Raven Run Stakes at Keeneland. Raven Run can be run at seven furlongs, and for that matter, all earlier Ragtime begins have been at that “tweener” distance. Ragtime is a daughter of Belmont Stakes winner Union Rags and out of Group 2 profitable sprinter Burmilla, and shouldn’t have any downside taking up one other eight miles on a observe she already excels at. The mare raced with blinkers in her first three races, however had poor begins at Dogwood and Raven Run and had them eliminated. She plans to place the blinkers again on for Cirukki and appears set to make a comeback.
If Shred the Gnarl can regain the shape he had in early Could after a six-and-a-half month break, he shall be a critical risk to win this race. She managed the tempo and took a powerful win on the undercard of the Oaks, her third profession begin. He then had an excellent second-place debut, operating a enjoyable mile and profitable at Gulfstream Park. The Into Mischief filly didn’t run in June’s DK Horse Acorn Stakes as a consequence of indicators of lameness, however has been given loads of time to regain well being and has been operating properly in latest weeks, but it surely’s onerous to disregard coach Brian Lynch’s 15-0 report over the previous 12 months for horses coming off greater than 180 days of relaxation.
Shred the Knarl ought to intention to win this race on the entrance below the superb tempo jockey Luis Saez, who has ridden him at each begin. Vital mares that may complicate that technique embrace: #6 One Magic Phillywas a six-and-a-half-furlong allowance possibility declare race at Keeneland in his first begin for up-and-coming coach Brendan Walsh, and he pushed the tempo to win by one size.
Since my finances is restricted to $30, I am going to guess Ragtime to win at odds of 2-1 or higher, and use her as the primary horse for single-win bets and trifecta bets. I guess a straight exer in ragtime in opposition to Shred the Knarl and one other straight exer in ragtime in opposition to One Magic Filly for a low quantity. Then, guess 3 consecutive ragtime bets on the 2nd place and the nearer. #1 Impel and #3 Capable of learn and write Thirdly. (use ABR playing calculator to create a guess)
Betting technique with a $30 finances:
Win $10 on Ragtime
What to say on the betting window:
$10 win at Churchill Downs, Race 3, #7
Simply $6 Ragtime and shred the gnar
What to say on the betting window:
Churchill Downs, Race 3, #7 and #2 for $6
Simply $2 Ragtime and One Magic Philly
What to say on the betting window:
Churchill Downs, Race 3, #7 and #6
$2 Trifecta, Ragtime and Shred the Gnar and One Magic Philly and Impel, Shred the Gnar, Literate, One Magic Philly ($12)
What to say on the betting window:
Churchill Downs, Race 3, $2 trifecta #7 and #2, #6 and #1, #2, #3, #6
