$300,000, Grade 3 Chirukki Stakes Offered by Resolute Racing The race at Churchill Downs is the third race on the monitor’s Nov. 15 card, which additionally contains the twenty seventh race.th Seven mares and mares will line up at Cirucchi and shall be contested over one mile of filth. It is a well-balanced group with a mixture of prime performers with main awards and up-and-coming expertise.
Impel, one in all coach Brad Cox’s two opponents, will begin within the inside submit place with Florent Geroux dealing with the iron. Geroux received the A Stakes final summer season at Ellis Park driving the filly High quality Street. Shred the Gnar is the lightest racing mare within the area and earned a 104 equal reference pace determine in her first begin since her dominant seven-length victory within the Allowance Possibility Declare Race at Churchill Downs on Longines Kentucky Oaks Day. The daughter of Into Mischief shall be making her first run in opposition to a graded stakes firm. The second, Brad Cox-trained Reiterate, ridden by prime jockey Airad Ortiz Jr., tied for the No. 3 submit for the primary time since final December. Retellate is predicated at Woodbine and shall be making his first begin since shifting to the Cox Barn. Runaway Diva runs from the Northeast, together with her previous three begins at Colonial Downs, Laurel Park and Delaware Park. 4-year-old filly Runhappy will make her Churchill Downs racing debut below coach Michelle Hemingway. Zadorski is not any stranger to Churchill Downs, having completed first twice and third twice in six profession races with coach Whit Beckman’s Twinspires. One Magic Filly drew Submit 6 in his second begin on the Kentucky circuit. Good Magic’s daughter is contemporary off a cushty victory within the Allowance Possibility Declare race at Keeneland in October after being changed by coach Brendan Walsh. Ragtime is an 8-5 morning favourite and is a Godolphin homebred horse educated by Corridor of Famer Invoice Mott. She shall be including blinkers for the primary time since ending runner-up within the Grade 1 Check Stakes Offered by Ticketmaster, which began at Saratoga in August.
Evaluation and predominant candidates:
One Magic Philly is ranked first in its racing class for each common class (99) and common pace (98). One Magic Filly earned a six-and-a-half furlong and 1/2-furlong allowance choice claimer victory at Keeneland Race Course, and in his subsequent begin he beat Hillerito, who returned and received final weekend’s Dream Supreme Stakes, by one size. One Magic Filly was beforehand primarily based in Southern California and raced in filth sprints below coach Phil D’Amato, profitable the 2024 Grade 3 Chillingworth Stakes at Santa Anita Park. After her victory at Chillingworth, One Magic Filly entered the 2024 Grade 1 PNC Financial institution Breeders’ Cup Filly Dash, ending sixth by simply two and three-quarters of a size, incomes a career-best (and highest within the area) 106 Equibase Velocity Determine. The Good Magic mare was winless in her first 4 races after the Breeders’ Cup, ending second to Splendora within the Tranquility Stakes at Del Mar in September in her final begin. I simply noticed Splendora win the Breeders’ Cup Filly Dash by 4 and three-quarters of a size just a few weeks in the past. After this race, One Magic Filly was transferred to the Brendan Walsh secure and received the aforementioned race at Keeneland in October. This filly has confronted some extremely powerful horses all through her profession and has proven the power to bounce again and win in sturdy fields. She brings grit and dedication to each race and deserves a number of respect on this race, particularly contemplating how properly she did on the filth at Churchill. Her 3-to-1 morning line offers stable worth, particularly for these with a watch for ragtime. She is going to develop to a mile. Nonetheless, she has expertise at that distance, ending second within the Tranquility Stakes held on the aforementioned two corners. With the additional benefit of a one-turn mile shot at Churchill, this stretch out ought to pose little drawback for One Magic Filly, who’s paired with jockey Tyler Gaffalione for the primary time.
ragtime Final time, within the G2 Lexus Raven Run Stakes held at Keeneland, he began in third place, simply half a size behind him, however on this race, he got here in final place by 6 3/4 lengths on the second name, and was late on the skin, making a comeback and narrowly lacking out, however it appears to be like like issues are going to be powerful right here. The daughter of Union Rags, who has by no means completed a race, received her first two races by a complete of eight lengths. His lag time has additionally been extremely constant, posting equibase pace figures of 99 in his final three consecutive begins, all in closely stakes races. After an ideal begin to her profession, she ran second within the Check Stakes and was caught final, ending second by a large margin. In her penultimate begin, she was final out of the gate and tied for the horses within the straight line to win the Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes Offered by Resolute Racing in spectacular vogue in her solely begin at Churchill Downs. The three-year-old filly additionally holds the very best late tempo ranking of 118.0, greater than eight factors greater than some other filly within the area. Common rider Junior Alvarado has ridden in all 5 of his profession begins and stays ridden by Invoice Mott, a duo that has received each race over the previous three years at Churchill Downs at a powerful 30% clip. Mott’s efficiency in opposition to Godolphin runners within the graded stakes is much more noteworthy, with a 40% win fee in 53 begins over the previous 4 years. The return to blinkers added an additional component of curiosity to this race. Ragtime wore it for his first three begins, however ran with out it at Dogwood and Raven Run. Traditionally, jockey Invoice Mott has received 19% of his races over the previous 5 years with horses which have switched to blinkers. The numbers all level to lag time and this filly will certainly have a fantastic race. She is extending this mile distance for the primary time since working all her begins at seven furlongs on filth. However a furlong in a flip mile is not any drawback for this proficient mare.
shred the gnarthe morning line’s second choice at odds of 5-2, Chirkki enters as the largest wild card within the area. She began her profession at Gulfstream Park in February, ending a distant second within the filth dash, earlier than enhancing to a mile in her subsequent begin and profitable Gate to Wire by six and a half lengths, enhancing her Equibase efficiency from 86 to 93. In her most up-to-date begin on Might 2nd, the Into Mischief filly produced one other dominant efficiency, pulling away by seven lengths within the Allowance Possibility Claimer at Churchill Racecourse. Down is filth for 1 1/16 miles. Shred the Gnar earned a career-best variety of 104 in that race, his greatest last end within the area. Nonetheless, the filly has not raced since that effort and is a vet scratch forward of June’s Grade 1 DK Acorn Stakes, including a component of uncertainty. Coach Brian Lynch has received 14% (3 of twenty-two) of his horses getting back from greater than 180 days on filth. Over the previous 12 months, 86 horses have returned to main races on filth routes after taking a break of 90 days or extra, with a profitable fee of solely 16%. Shredzaner’s expertise is simple, however returning as a 3-year-old horse on the filth monitor within the graded stakes after a protracted break is a formidable problem. Nonetheless, she is 1-1 at Churchill over this distance, profitable her final two begins by a complete of 13 and a half lengths. On paper, she has good capability and numbers, however with two exterior graded stakes winners drawn, this shall be an essential take a look at of each class and situation. Luis Saez has ridden Shred the Gnar in all three begins and is scheduled to journey him on Saturday.
The remainder of the sector has posted the very best Equibase pace numbers in related races. impel (98), can learn and write (98), runaway diva (91), and Zadorsky (98).
Get candidates by precedence:
One Magic Philly
ragtime
shred the gnar
