The numbers behind Francesco Bagnaia’s ‘unacceptable’ MotoGP comparisons

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Some of the irritating components of Francesco Bagnaia’s 2025 MotoGP season was his incapability to match his tempo from the earlier 12 months.

“It’s totally troublesome to just accept, as a result of in case you evaluate final 12 months’s race time to this season, I may very well be successful, I may very well be preventing for the win,” Bagnaia stated in the course of the marketing campaign.

“I have never been capable of repeat (that point) this season and it is quite a bit slower than final 12 months.”

Sadly for the two-time world champion, that development continued all through the season.

Not all 2025 races are straight akin to 2024 races. Some rounds, reminiscent of Termas de Rio Hondo, Balaton Park, Brno and Valencia, weren’t even current on the 2024 calendar.

In each years, different races needed to be excluded as a result of moist circumstances, restarts, and modifications in race distance. Bagnaia additionally needed to end each years.

To make the comparability significant:

  • Barcelona will use the 2024 Catalunya Grand Prix (not the solidarity finale).
  • Misano makes use of Emilia Romagna GP (2024 San Marino GP as a result of rain).
  • Temperature variations, grip, grid place and tire choice are usually not taken into consideration, however most tire compound choices stay unchanged.

Utilizing these standards, we had been capable of evaluate 18 races and Bagnaia was forward of his 2024 tempo in solely 4 of them.

Two of the 2025 enhancements passed off at Motegi, the place Bagnaia gained each the Dash and Grand Prix.

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Different breakthroughs had been on the Aragon Dash (held on an excellent dirtier course in 2024) and the Costa Dash, the place the Italian moved from eighth in 2024 to 3rd final 12 months.

For the remaining 14 races, Bagnaia in GP25 was slower than the identical course in GP24.

At Mandalika, Bagnaia certified sixteenth, 25 seconds slower than his 2024 dash successful time.

However Mugello, historically considered one of his strongest songs, was arguably his most irritating.

Bagnaia completed fourth with a time of twenty-two.910 seconds slower than his 2024 successful tempo, however solely 5.081 seconds behind teammate and 2025 winner Marc Marquez.

This implies Marquez gained in 2024 regardless of being 17.829 seconds slower than Bagnaia.

In distinction, within the nightmarish Phillip Island Dash, Bagnaia was considerably slower in 2025, whereas race winner Marco Bezzecchi (Aprilia) was considerably sooner than Jorge Martin in 2024.

Francesco Bagnaia race times in the same event: 2024 vs 2025

Francesco Bagnaia race occasions in the identical occasion: 2024 vs 2025

Was the 2025 race sluggish total?

The second comparability seems in any respect comparable race successful occasions, no matter whether or not Bagnaia completed or not. This broad pattern contains 28 ethnicities.

13 of them had been gained with sooner occasions in 2025, whereas the remaining 15 had been gained with slower occasions than the earlier 12 months.

After all, a rider holding a snug lead does not must push to the restrict, as Marc Márquez usually did in 2025.

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Nonetheless, of the 15 “unbeaten” race occasions in 2024, 12 had been recorded by Ducati GP24 riders, seven by Bagnaia, three by Enea Bastianini and two by that 12 months’s world champion Jorge Martin.

In different phrases, Bagnaia might theoretically have gained three extra sprints and 4 extra GPs final 12 months. if He was capable of recreate his 2024 race time.

Francesco Bagnaia wins the 2025 Japanese MotoGP.

Francesco Bagnaia wins the 2025 Japanese MotoGP.

Even when Bagnaia achieved an ideal double at Motegi in 2025, it could solely be a slight enchancment over his successful time on the similar observe a 12 months in the past.

In the meantime, Marc Marquez was a number of seconds sooner than 2025 Grand Prix winner Raul Fernandez (Trackhouse) on the 2024 Gresini GP23 at Phillip Island, however dash winner Bezzecchi needed to serve twice as lengthy a lap.

Marquez missed the 2025 Phillip Island spherical as a result of accidents from Bezzecchi’s accident at Mandalica.

MotoGP race wins: 2024 vs 2025

MotoGP race wins: 2024 vs 2025

Marc Marquez’s Aragon Grand Prix win was on a a lot cleaner floor than the Spaniard’s 2024 victory at Gresini, and marked a noticeable time enchancment in 2025.

In the meantime, the Mugello, Assen and Misano GPs noticed the “slowest” wins in comparison with 2024 tempo.

As talked about earlier, Marc Marquez gained the 2024 Mugello with a time 17.829 seconds slower than Bagnaia, then at Assen he was 6.858 seconds slower than Bagnaia the 12 months earlier than, and 6.254 seconds slower than his manufacturing unit Ducati predecessor Enea Bastianini, who held off Bezzecchi at Misano in 2025.

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