The Waste Administration Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale is a scoring extravaganza. Final 12 months’s winner had a seven-shot lead at 24 underneath, which exhibits precisely what this place has to supply.
We’re in search of gamers who can rack up birdies, deal with wedge-heavy strategy pictures, and keep aggressive on par 5s with out making errors. This course is appropriate for gamers with robust iron play, consolation on quick greens, and never afraid to press when scoring situations are smooth.
As at all times, I concentrate on gamers with a totally aggressive profile, however I guess conservatively in favor of the highest 20/30 markets the place the scoring matches and the costs are nonetheless holding.
Listed here are the gamers to contemplate for betting and fantasy at WMPO.
finest guess
Maverick McNeely: Prime 20 (+125)
Full odds:
Prime 30 -135
Prime 10 +265
Prime 5 +1550
To get +3400
I belief the profile, not simply the tip. McNeely does most of his harm from tee to inexperienced (No. 13) and particularly together with his irons (No. 18). Look intently sufficient inside 20 ft over and over and you will have a preventing likelihood. McNealy does. His latest outcomes again this up, with robust finishes at programs similar to Scottsdale, similar to Summerlin and Twin Cities, each of that are second-shot tracks the place iron play and GIR decide the spherical. The putter has stripes, however that is fantastic for a prime 20 participant. If the ball strikes are intact, plus cash is assured and a dependable profile with actual score-up potential.
Pierceson Coody: Prime 30 (+110)
Full odds:
Prime 20 +175
Prime 10 +385
Prime 5 +830
To get +5500
Preserve the ball in play, hit a number of greens, and keep away from massive numbers. Coody checks these bins. He’s quietly robust from tee to inexperienced (No. 7) and wonderful at inexperienced regulation and bogey avoidance. This combo helps gamers hold a clear sheet whereas different gamers are urgent. Current prime 20s on the American Categorical and Farmers Insurance coverage Open present that Coody can deal with more durable ball-striking exams, each of which translate properly to Scottsdale. He additionally carried out properly in desert-style occasions, the place iron play and scrambling are extra essential than carrying spikes. The putter is common, so I would not purchase it within the prime 20, however as a prime 30, Coody is constant and is an affordable buy.
Additionally: Prime 20 (-105)
Full odds:
Prime 10 +215
Prime 5 +450
To get +2700
Kim has a participant profile that I like when she’s doing the heavy lifting when hitting the ball, and I am not in search of a miracle putter week. His latest streak of 5 consecutive top-20 finishes has been stable. It’s because he has the next statistics: 2nd within the subject from tee to inexperienced, 4th in strategy, highly effective off the tee, and dependable bogey avoidance.
Scottsdale is a birdie observe, however massive numbers can sneak up on you for those who get it mistaken. Kim’s ball hitting avoids that sloppiness. The course’s historical past has been constant, with a number of prime 25 finishes right here, together with a T12 in 2024. Putters are at all times a priority, however the top-20 worth is a guess that Kim’s irons will give him a superb likelihood of cashing in.
Gamers to contemplate for each day fantasy
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Haotong Li, $7,500: If you happen to hit the ball with out paying title worth, you may be on the upswing. His irons lately are so good that any participant could make a sequence of birdie pictures. For a participant who can spike and rack up birdies within the first or second spherical, his worth is affordable and makes him a salary-saving possibility.
Jacob Bridgman, $7,100: He matches a floor-first profile, not volatility. He persistently retains the ball in play from tee to inexperienced and avoids blowouts, which has helped produce back-to-back top-15 finishes. Bridgeman’s iron play is stable sufficient to present him an opportunity, rising his strokes within the remaining two rounds and stopping his rounds from falling aside with scrambles. You decide him and make the lower, scoring 4 rounds and accumulating factors with out breaking the lineup.
DFS participant fades out
Xander Schauffele, $10,500: He has the second-highest wage, however his latest profile would not justify paying him the wage with minimal aggressive reps and little rhythm currently. His ball-striking is not sharp, he loses his stroke off the tee at Torrey, his strategy is impartial at finest, and there is not sufficient of a spot in scoring metrics to make up for the distinction in wage. You may be paying for visibility, not type. In per week the place a well-rounded physique and mid-range scorer can orbit the sector, Schauffele has a slim path to reward this tag. I would a lot relatively reallocate that wage to a participant with a stronger strategy and extra upside per greenback worth.
