The PGA heads to Pebble Seashore. It might look easy on paper, nevertheless it’s a course that lets you expose the whole lot. It is brief by fashionable requirements, however on no account forgiving. Small greens, coastal air, and sharp decision-making require gamers to play with managed aggression.
Distance helps, however the one factor that issues is whether or not you possibly can take your possibilities on the inexperienced. So whereas tee to inexperienced is the deciding issue, it additionally determines how far your putt goes.
You may discover that this week I included each “To Win” and “To Win With out Scottie Scheffler.” If I select to sprinkle on an outright market, I favor to win outright. In case you take away Scheffler, you lose upside, and the gamers I am rooting for want volatility to win anyway. In the event that they acquired there, it wasn’t as a result of Scotty politely stepped apart, however as a result of he marked and spiked birdies and distances. Value variations not often justify sacrificing cost.
That being mentioned…new week, identical technique. I favor “high 20” bets for consistency, however just for gamers with profiles that really assist profitable if all goes nicely. The whole odds are listed so you possibly can select your individual threat stage, whether or not you need to chase the ceiling or play for larger odds.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook Topic to alter.
greatest wager
Jake Knapp: Prime 20 (+114)
Full odds:
Knapp is a excessive ceiling, excessive volatility kind of participant. If the timing is correct he’ll make a degree, but when not his precision might be uncovered. Pebble rewards him for precisely what he brings: energy, birdies and putts. Knapp is an aggressive scorer and has a professional upside with a bogey-free 64.
He is within the high 5 in tee shot and driving distance, however he is additionally within the high 10 in placing, birdie or higher, and pour placing cut up. It is an amazing combo that creates scoring possibilities and converts. Torrey’s T5 was sturdy each off the tee and flatstick, plus his T8 at Scottsdale and stable at Waialae, with Torrey’s preparation DNA written throughout his current kind.
Final yr’s efficiency at Pebble was mediocre, however that was as a consequence of chilly placing. The 2026 model of Knapp is completely different. I like the highest 20, so +114 is sweet for me, however if you need extra threat, the worth might technically be within the high 10 or high 5. With Knapp, both let him combat or miss.
Pierceson Coody: Prime 20 (+152)
Full odds:
The extra time I spent looking at Coody’s numbers, the higher his profile acquired. He’s an influence ahead who matches nicely with Pebble as a slugger who makes use of distance as an asset. Coody ranks fifth in each tee and driving distance, which means he constantly creates shorter strategy pictures and simpler scoring alternatives.
What I preferred was that his total baseline gave him a margin of sixth from tee to inexperienced and twelfth in birdie or higher. If his putter is even common, he can keep his spot on the leaderboard.
It has a quiet edge. General, the placing might be scorching or chilly, however Cody is second greatest at Poa Anua. If he is on, his ceiling will leap. If not, he might nonetheless be within the high 20 simply by hitting the ball. His current kind — T2 at Torrey, T10 at Scottsdale — plus his distance, elite tee-to-green and powerful pour splits are promising.
For reference, high 30 at -102 is an choice, nevertheless it feels such as you’re enjoying protection. His high 20 value is ideal for giving him room to climb close to the highest of the leaderboard relatively than sneaking in late.
Gamers to contemplate for every day fantasy
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Chris Gottapp, $9,000: I like Gottharp in Fantasy vs. Prime 20 (-102) as a result of he can spike and carry the lineup, which helps enhance DFS however would not work as a betting anchor.
He has received two of his previous three begins, displaying that though the ceiling is actual, the street is slim. He is No. 6 from the tee and distance is No. 6, so he can dominate the course from tee to inexperienced, excellent for birdie alternatives. The issue is that Pebble additionally wants putts, and his gap putts rank 73rd total in birdie proportion. He’s rated as a favourite to hit the ball, however his upside has been restricted.
Maverick McNeely $8,800: He is within the high 10 in placing at Pore and strokes gained at Pebble, which reveals he is aware of the right way to rating at this monitor. Robust placing and improved irons give him a certain path to greens and birdies. The tradeoff that makes him extra of a fantasy participant than a wager is off the tee. His driving is common, however his accuracy is variable, which limits his true win worth. McNeely depends extra on his strategy and putter than energy, so except he has an uncommon driving week, he isn’t a -21 kind of man. If it is fantasy then that is nice.
DFS participant fades out
Michael Thorbjornsen, $8,600: He is flashy on the floor along with his T18 at Torrey and T3 at Phoenix, however let’s pump the brakes. His profile could possibly be shaky for Pebble. I am good at driving, however I am dangerous at placing. He is a detrimental participant, inconsistent from week to week, and nonetheless depends on his ball-hitting spikes to compete. Pebble punishes inconsistency. His birdie fee is sweet, however with small greens and difficult lies, errors can rapidly flip into frustration. His value is extra on the heels of current finishes than on the precise aspect.
