The PGA heads to Pebble Seashore. It might look easy on paper, nevertheless it’s a course that lets you expose all the pieces. It is quick by fashionable requirements, however under no circumstances forgiving. Small greens, coastal air, and sharp decision-making require gamers to play with managed aggression.
Distance helps, however the one factor that issues is whether or not you possibly can take your possibilities on the inexperienced. So whereas tee to inexperienced is the deciding issue, it additionally determines how far your putt goes.
You may discover that this week I included each “To Win” and “To Win With out Scottie Scheffler.” If I select to sprinkle on an outright market, I desire to win outright. Should you take away Scheffler, you lose upside, and the gamers I am rooting for want volatility to win anyway. In the event that they acquired there, it wasn’t as a result of Scotty politely stepped apart, however as a result of he marked and spiked birdies and distances. Value variations not often justify sacrificing fee.
That being mentioned…new week, similar methodology. I desire “prime 20” bets for consistency, however just for gamers with profiles that truly help profitable if all goes nicely. The whole odds are listed so you possibly can select your individual danger stage, whether or not you wish to chase the ceiling or play for larger odds.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook (Contains tie) Topic to alter.
finest guess
Jake Knapp: High 20 (+114)
Full odds:
Knapp is a excessive ceiling, excessive volatility sort of participant. If the timing is correct he’ll make a degree, but when not his precision could be uncovered. Pebble rewards him for precisely what he brings: energy, birdies and putts. Knapp is an aggressive scorer and has a reliable upside with a bogey-free 64.
He is within the prime 5 in tee shot and driving distance, however he is additionally within the prime 10 in placing, birdie or higher, and pour placing cut up. It is an excellent combo that creates scoring possibilities and converts. Torrey’s T5 was robust each off the tee and flatstick, plus his T8 at Scottsdale and stable at Waialae, with Torrey’s preparation DNA written throughout his current type.
Final yr’s efficiency at Pebble was mediocre, however that was as a result of chilly placing. The 2026 model of Knapp is completely different. I like the highest 20, so +114 is sweet for me, however if you need extra danger, the worth might technically be within the prime 10 or prime 5. With Knapp, both let him battle or miss.
Pierceson Coody: High 20 (+152)
Full odds:
The extra time I spent observing Coody’s numbers, the higher his profile acquired. He’s an influence ahead who matches nicely with Pebble as a slugger who makes use of distance as an asset. Coody ranks fifth in each tee and driving distance, that means he constantly creates shorter strategy photographs and simpler scoring alternatives.
What I favored was that his total baseline gave him a margin of sixth from tee to inexperienced and twelfth in birdie or higher. If his putter is even common, he can keep his spot on the leaderboard.
It has a quiet edge. General, the placing could be scorching or chilly, however Cody is second finest at Poa Anua. If he is on, his ceiling will leap. If not, he might nonetheless be within the prime 20 simply by hitting the ball. His current type — T2 at Torrey, T10 at Scottsdale — plus his distance, elite tee-to-green and robust pour splits are promising.
For reference, prime 30 at -102 is an possibility, nevertheless it feels such as you’re taking part in protection. His prime 20 value is ideal for giving him room to climb close to the highest of the leaderboard reasonably than sneaking in late.
Gamers to think about for day by day fantasy
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Chris Gottapp, $9,000: I like Gottharp in Fantasy vs. High 20 (-102) as a result of he can spike and carry the lineup, which helps improve DFS however does not work as a betting anchor.
He has gained two of his previous three begins, exhibiting that though the ceiling is actual, the highway is slim. He is No. 6 from the tee and distance is No. 6, so he can dominate the course from tee to inexperienced, good for birdie alternatives. The issue is that Pebble additionally wants putts, and his gap putts rank 73rd total in birdie share. He’s rated as a favourite to hit the ball, however his upside has been restricted.
Maverick McNeely $8,800: He is within the prime 10 in placing at Pore and strokes gained at Pebble, which reveals he is aware of how you can rating at this observe. Robust placing and improved irons give him a positive path to greens and birdies. The tradeoff that makes him extra of a fantasy participant than a wager is off the tee. His driving is common, however his accuracy is variable, which limits his true win worth. McNeely depends extra on his strategy and putter than energy, so until he has an uncommon driving week, he is not a -21 sort of man. If it is fantasy then that is advantageous.
DFS participant fades out
Michael Thorbjornsen, $8,600: He is flashy on the floor along with his T18 at Torrey and T3 at Phoenix, however let’s pump the brakes. His profile could possibly be shaky for Pebble. I am good at driving, however I am dangerous at placing. He is a unfavorable participant, inconsistent from week to week, and nonetheless depends on his ball-hitting spikes to compete. Pebble punishes inconsistency. His birdie charge is sweet, however with small greens and difficult lies, errors can shortly flip into frustration. His value is extra on the heels of current finishes than on the precise facet.
