Bay Hill is lengthy and demanding, and the tough is thick, so in case your lengthy irons aren’t sharp sufficient, you will really feel it by Saturday. Par 3s aren’t any joke. At over 200 yards, it is not a birdie-filled course. It is extra a few managed tee shot, sturdy iron play, and a participant who can survive off the inexperienced.
I am searching for a well-rounded participant from tee to inexperienced with a stable lengthy iron rely and sufficient quick sport capability and consistency to get by 4 rounds with out exploding.
Listed here are the gamers that might make sense for Bay Hill:
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook (Consists of tie) Topic to alter.
finest guess
Nicolai Hojgaard: High 20 (+148)
Full odds:
High 30 -108
High 10 +360
High 5 +830
To get +5600
The model of Højgaard that did not make the lower in 2025 is just not the model we see in the present day. Final season, he saved bleeding along with his strokes across the greens, which was deadly at Bay Hill, the place he was assured to overlook the inexperienced. He has been impartial or constructive over the previous seven rounds, taking away the largest legal responsibility.
His ball hanging is actual, and he has elevated his stroke rely on strategy in each occasion this 12 months and continues to put up constructive numbers off the tee. Shot management and lengthy iron proximity are what separates the contestants from the survivors.
He’s additionally second in par 3 scores and fourth in par 3s over 200 yards, which is instantly associated to Bay Hill’s setup. Add in an improved scramble and a constructive Bermuda placing cut up and also you’re taking a look at a way more full participant. Credit score I did not give him final week.
Hoygoe is a well-rounded participant from tee to inexperienced, with consistency in his quick sport, which means he has a clearly elevated baseline. If he can preserve his present kind, he needs to be close to the highest of the leaderboard.
Ryo Hisatsune: High 30 (+156)
Full odds:
High 20 +255
High 10 +680
High 5 +1700
To get +14500
His 2026 profile is quietly sturdy. I improve my stroke with weight splits on my tee shot, strategy, and across the inexperienced. At Bay Hill, there may be such an all-out ball hanging, the place positional drives and lengthy iron management are extra vital than pure distance. He completed within the prime 20 in each par 3 general rating and lengthy par 3s. The weak level is scrambling, which may expose you to sturdy winds and thick tough. Nonetheless, his GIR price limits the variety of strain restoration pictures he can take. To earn a prime 30 ticket, Hisatsune solely must keep away from blowout rounds.
He by no means performed at Bay Hill, however that does not actually matter for a top-10 or larger placement market. Bermuda is his finest floor, so this can be a structured play constructed round sustainable tee-to-green kind, relatively than spiked kind.
Gamers to think about for day by day fantasy
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Shane Lowry, $8,600
Lowry was eighth in irons, fifteenth in greens in regulation, and prime 20 in par-3 scores, all benefiting from this course. The pink flag is that he’s impartial off the tee, struggles across the greens and is barely adverse on this placing floor. Nonetheless, his iron play creates probabilities. Even when he was adverse across the greens this week, his GIR reduces his publicity to that weak spot. However what actually issues is his historic consolation with back-to-back top-10 finishes at Bay Hill. His iron-heavy profile lends itself nicely to lengthy par 3s and positional tee pictures. So with Lowry, you get a robust strategy, confirmed course efficiency, excessive lower fairness, and a top-10 ceiling. He isn’t an ideal match statistically, however his sport nonetheless interprets.
Pierceson Coody, $6,700, High 20 (+146)
Full odds:
High 10 +360
High 5 + 820
To get +5300
As a substitute of zooming out on his long-term resume, I zoomed in on his current kind to see his baseline enchancment. This 12 months, he constructed one of many strongest tee-to-green shot profiles on this vary. He had a GIR score of 4th off the tee, sixteenth on strategy, and third within the subject. He is within the prime 5 in par 3 scores and appears nice, however there’s some instability in his putter that creates hesitation. Total it is impartial, with a slight adverse relating to Bermuda, so this is not a putting-driven heater. You will most likely want a impartial to barely constructive efficiency on these greens to complete within the prime 20. However the turnaround is actual, as proven by the T14 right here and Torrey’s T2 earlier this season.
In fantasy, its worth turns into even clearer. His tee-to-green manufacturing provides him a lower of inventory and a top-15 ceiling at a mid-range worth. You will be paying for the shape earlier than the market totally corrects.
DFS participant fades out
Scotty Scheffler, $14,200
The very best participant on this planet, however what issues is the worth and the trail to primary. He is nonetheless elite off the tee, on the prime of the sector, and his quick sport is sharp. What’s uncommon is that the putter does extra of the heavy lifting than the iron. His strategy numbers are first rate, however not overwhelming. That is typical of what pulls him off the sector when he wins.
At this wage, you will virtually actually must be within the prime 5 or have reputable successful rights. Something much less will lead to inefficient roster constructing. If his irons are simply good relatively than nice, he turns into a “sturdy contender” relatively than an awesome favourite.
At $14,2000, lineup flexibility is restricted and depth should be sacrificed. That is merely betting on a premium worth.
