Welcome to the Kentucky Derby Prospect Profile. Here’s a weekly take a look at current winners on the Street to the Derby schedule, a qualifying race for the 1 1/4-mile Basic on Could 2, 2026 at Churchill Downs.
This week we’ll take a better look unbelievable boltwinner of the $506,000 Virginia Derby offered by New Kent County on March 14 at Colonial Downs. He racked up 50 factors en path to the win, shifting him into second place on the Street to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a complete of 60 qualifying factors.
Race abstract: Incredibold made a reputation for himself within the early levels of the 2026 Kentucky Derby when he received by two and three-quarters of a size within the mile-and-a-half Road Sense Stakes at Churchill Downs on Oct. 26, 2026, with an attention grabbing comeback from seven lengths to the rear to win his first victory by two and three-quarters of a size.
Incredivolt, like 2024 Road Sense winner Sovereignty, completed the race underneath coach Riley Mott with a time of 24.54 seconds within the closing quarter mile. The colt received the 2025 Kentucky Derby for Invoice Mott, sire of Corridor of Fame horse Riley. The Grade 3 stakes held at Roses’ host monitor regarded like a top quality 3-year-old horse with an excellent story to inform.
Incredivolt’s Derby possibilities suffered a serious blow in his disappointing season debut when he completed sixth and misplaced by 25 and 1 / 4 lengths within the Holy Bull Stakes on January 31, however Riley Mott speculated that the mysterious misfire was as a consequence of Incredivolt not taking note of Gulfstream Park’s principal course. Those that nonetheless had religion within the stallion had been rewarded with the Virginia Derby.
Incredivolt appeared to select up the tempo comfortably underneath common rider Jaime Torres, however acquired caught in visitors going via the flip and right into a one-turn, 1 1/8-mile race. When Torres discovered a gap on the within, the Incredivolt accelerated with the identical eagerness it had within the Road Sense S. He raced via the ultimate quarter mile in 23.97 seconds and the ultimate furlong in 11.92 seconds to win by 4 lengths because the No. 4 favourite in a 10-horse discipline at 6.20-1, in line with Equibase’s GPS chart. Though you need to keep in mind the truth that the Virginia Derby is a one-turn race (see velocity numbers under), it’s an uncommon conclusion for a race on the Derby route.
“He was sitting proper within the pocket behind the onerous tempo and was surrounded by horses a lot of the method. He took Jaime proper into the opening within the rail turning in the direction of dwelling after which simply popped out and pulled away on the finish,” Mott mentioned. “He is been bred to try this and he is confirmed he can full lengthy races, so we’re optimistic and hope he’ll be capable of make it in time for the primary Saturday in Could.”
Pace numbers: The Incredibles set new profession bests in Equibase and Beyer Pace within the Virginia Derby, enhancing the previous by one level to 95 and rising Beyer by six ticks to 88, each of that are document highs in Road Sense. his velocity numbers, Incredibold is clearly within the second tier of Derby contenders, that means he must make a reasonably vital leap to grow to be a Kentucky Derby favourite.
Operating model: After racing a bit of nearer to tempo within the Virginia Derby (he used an identical tactic in his first victory off the mile at Churchill Racecourse in September), Incredibold has a profile as a stalker/nearer sort. In a 20-horse Kentucky Derby discipline, I count on him to race someplace behind the velocity and tempo horses and in entrance of the closers and deep closers. A more in-depth or deep nearer could possibly be anyplace from fifth or sixth to perhaps twelfth.th It relies on how he comes out of the beginning gate.
Pedigree notes: Incredivolt is a fourth-generation offspring of 2018 Santa Anita Derby winner Bolt d’Oro, who was additionally a a number of G1 winner as a two-year-old. Borto d’Oro is the sire of the 2026 Pegasus World Cup Mares Turf Invitational Stakes, with TAA winner Destino d’Oro and 2025 Longines Kentucky Oaks runner-up Drexel Hill working amongst 23 horses. Stakes winners have till March fifteenth.
Incredivolt’s dam, Superior Once more, produced Sapphire Spitfire, who received three races, throughout one mile. Sapphire Spitfire is the dam of 1992 Horse of the 12 months Weekend Shock, dam of 1992 Horse of the 12 months, breeding stallion AP Indy, and 1990 Preakness winner and sire Summer time Squall.
Derby potentialities: Pace’s numbers point out that Incredibold wants vital enchancment to grow to be a viable Kentucky Derby contender, and not one of the subsequent choices main as much as the Kentucky Derby, resembling taking a seven-week relaxation earlier than the Could 2nd race or attempting to shoehorn in one other prep race, are perfect for making an enormous leap. I predict Mott will in all probability prepare him till the Kentucky Derby, and Incredibold might want to run within the greatest race of his life at Churchill. He’s an explosive finisher, likes Churchill and will supply nice worth within the derby.
