2026 Louisiana Derby Cheat Sheet

22 Min Read

The Fairgrounds concludes the Winter/Spring Match this weekend with Saturday’s $1 million occasion, the racetrack’s marquee occasion. Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby. The 1 3/16-mile Louisiana Derby is the ultimate of 4 preparatory races for the Kentucky Derby Offered by Woodford Reserve at New Orleans Race Course, with roses distributed to the highest 5 on a 100-50-25-15-10 foundation and a complete of 200 qualifying factors awarded earlier than the Might 2 begin.

5 horses from this race have gained the Kentucky Derby, however solely two have swept each races. 1924 Black Gold and 1996 Grindstone. Most just lately, Nation Home (2019) and Mandalon (2021) each completed outdoors the Louisiana Derby and gained the Kentucky Derby by disqualification. Different notable current Louisiana Derby winners embrace Peace Guidelines (2003, Kentucky Derby third), Gun Runner (2016, Kentucky Derby third, 2017 Horse of the Yr), Sizzling Rod Charlie (2021, Kentucky Derby 2nd, Belmont Stakes), and Epicenter (2022, Kentucky Derby 2nd, Preakness). stake).

113th The Louisiana Derby drew main horses, headlined by the winners of the 2 Derby pre-races held on the fairgrounds through the occasion, Golden Tempo (Lecomte Stakes) and Chip Honcho (Gun Runner Stakes). The race shall be broadcast reside on FanDuel TV, with put up time scheduled for six:42pm ET.

Learn under for data and playing insights on every Louisiana Derby contender.


1. Pavlov (morning line odds 6-1)

Jockey: Edwin Maldonado

coach: Doug O’Neill

Proprietor: redum racing

Work historical past: 9 begins – 2 wins – 3 seconds – 1 third

Profession revenue: $413,450

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 87

Kentucky Derby factors: 20

Pedigree: Pavel – Mandy’s Grace, alongside Bellamy Highway.

shade: grey or roan

Operating type: stalker

evaluation: The California colt hit the Kentucky Derby course with a nostril victory over favourite Specific Child within the 1 1/16-mile Sunland Park Derby on February fifteenth. The win earned him 20 qualifying factors for the Kentucky Derby. In different phrases, if he finishes second or increased within the Louisiana Derby, he shall be assured a spot within the Basic on Might 2nd, but when he finishes third, he could possibly be on the borderline relying on his different 200-point efficiency. The race will proceed over the subsequent few weeks. Pavlovian is a tough employee, and earlier than the Sunland Park Derby he had competed primarily with state-bred horses, however there was no noticeable distinction. He struggled in three consecutive races earlier than profitable the Sunland Derby, throwing out his mount in one of many races, and couldn’t afford any mishaps in opposition to a harder area than the one he confronted in New Mexico. his pedigree, 1 3/16 miles appears properly inside vary.


2. Autobahn (8-1)

Jockey: Marcelino Pedrosa Jr.

coach: brad cox

Proprietor: WinStar Farm, CHC Inc., First Go Racing

Work historical past: 3 begins – 1 win – 0 seconds – 1 third

Profession revenue: $48,000

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 80

Kentucky Derby factors: 0

Pedigree: Nyquist – Take Cost Paula, Take Cost Indy

shade: darkish bay or brown

Operating type: stalker

evaluation: Each this stallion and Easterly have the identical proprietor and coach and shall be shipped out of Gulfstream Park for the Kentucky Derby. Autobahn has extra expertise than his stablemate, having began his profession 3 times at racetracks in South Florida. He completed fifth and third in his first two races, the latter dropping by 11 3/4 lengths to the Esmark Tampa Bay Derby third-place finisher Canaletto, earlier than placing all of it collectively within the 1 1/8-mile opener, overcoming a poor begin and leaving 5 opponents behind for a 5-3/4 size victory. Autobahn earned an 80 equal pace determine for that win, an enchancment over his earlier two begins, however nonetheless properly under the pace wanted to win this race. The horse is a son of 2016 Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist out of the multi-stakes profitable mare Take Cost Paula and is bred to deal with additional distances. Candidates for trifecta and superfecta horse racing tickets.


3. Chip Honmachi (3-1)

Jockey: Luis Saez

coach: Steve Asmussen

Proprietor: Leland Ackerley Racing, James Sherwood, Joad Shoop, John Cilia

Work historical past: 5 begins – 2 wins – 2 seconds – third place 0

Profession revenue: $260,475

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 98

Kentucky Derby factors: 39

Pedigree: Join – Miss My Rose, by Magician

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shade: darkish bay or brown

Operating type: pacesetter/push the tempo

evaluation: Chip honcho is just a few morning line Based mostly on Fairgrounds’ sturdy efficiency prior to now three Kentucky Derby factors races, he’s the favourite for the Louisiana Derby. He gained the Gun Runner Stakes on December twentieth by three-quarters of a size, and on January seventeenth he misplaced to Golden Tempo’s 4th place winner by only one and three-quarters of a size. These races have been held at 1 1/16 miles, and Chip Honcho gained Equibase Pace ​​Figures within the mid-80s each instances. The horse ran to 1 1/8 miles within the Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes and was the second favourite behind Paladin and Golden Tempo, however the darkish fawn/brown colt, ridden by Luis Saez, put in the most effective effort of his profession from a pace standpoint, however narrowly missed out on the upset, dropping to Paladin by half a size. Chip Honcho’s pedigree means that races between 1 mile and 1 1/16 miles are his greatest, but when he can replicate or enhance on his Risen Star efficiency and 98 Equibase pace determine, he must be one of many fundamental candidates for Saturday’s stretch run. Jockey Luis Saez rode the horse for the primary time at Risen Star, adopted by five-time Louisiana Derby winner Steve Asmussen. Even when he finishes third, these 25 factors will doubtless be sufficient to ship Chip Honcho to the Kentucky Derby.

Is that this your first time horse racing? Let me clarify…

Morning line: In horse racing, every racetrack hires an oddsmaker to estimate what assist a horse will obtain from bettors in a pari-mutuel pool that collects bets from everybody betting on a specific race. These estimates are referred to as morning line odds and are often introduced one to 2 days earlier than the race is run. Morning line odds are the place to begin for when a race turns into out there for betting and can change as bettors start inserting bets. Remaining odds can differ considerably from morning line odds by the point the race begins.


4. Universe (12-1)

Jockey: brian hernandez jr.

coach: Ken McPeek

Proprietor: 4G Racing, Greg Day, Stephen Crane, Magdalena Racing

Work historical past: 6 begins – 1 win – 2 seconds – 1 third

Profession revenue: $259,650

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 91

Kentucky Derby factors: twenty three

Pedigree: World Marketing campaign – Equalityforall, High quality Highway

shade: bay

Operating type: close by

evaluation: The Louisiana Derby is Universe’s sixth consecutive begin within the Kentucky Derby qualifying factors race, along with his greatest end of the final 5 runners-up within the Road Sense Stakes and Kentucky Jockey Membership Stakes at 1 1/16 miles at Churchill Downs final fall. In two prep races this 12 months, he completed seventh out of eight lengths within the 1 1/16-mile Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park, after which completed fourth within the Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes, a mile and eight seconds forward, by Paladin by seven and three-quarters of a size. The stallion co-owned and skilled by Ken McPeak, the 2024 Kentucky Derby profitable coach, has not developed right into a high Kentucky Derby candidate, and it appears that evidently the restrict for the Louisiana Derby is to start out late and win main prizes. Nonetheless, if Universe have been to complete third, he would earn 25 Derby factors, growing his complete to 48 factors and could be within the race to qualify for the Derby based mostly on current leaderboards. Jockey Brian Hernandez Jr., who additionally gained the 2024 Derby driving McPeak’s Mystic Dan, returned driving Universe after selecting up his second win within the Kentucky Jockey Membership Stakes.


5. Golden Time (7-2)

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

coach: Shelley Deveaux

Proprietor: Phipps Stables and St. Elias Stables

Work historical past: 3 begins – 2 wins – 0 seconds – 1 3 instances

Profession revenue: $233,000

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 90

Kentucky Derby factors: 35

Pedigree: Carlin – Calamba, by Bernardini

shade: bay

Operating type: close by

evaluation: Golden Tempo is aiming to enhance on his run within the Louisiana Derby after falling behind and ending third within the 1 1/8-mile Risen Star Stakes held at this monitor in mid-February. The Curlin colt entered Risen Star with a come-from-behind victory within the 1 1/16-mile Le Conte Stakes on the Fairgrounds on January 17 and was seeking to spark one other sturdy rally at Risen Star, however there was an excessive amount of floor for him to catch as much as pacesetter Chip Honcho, whereas winner Paladin made a closing transfer from chasing place to win. Regardless of dropping by six lengths, Golden Tempo improved his Equibase Pace ​​Index to 90 and if he advances additional he shall be in competition for the Louisiana Derby championship. The issue is that he depends on quick early tempo as a more in-depth. Apart from Chip Honcho and maybe Easterly, there are not any pace horses within the Louisiana Derby area. Whereas Saturday’s Golden Tempo will be capable of keep a more in-depth relationship with the early leaders, all eyes shall be on common jockey Jose Ortiz, who may have sufficient vitality to cost within the closing levels. Golden tempo added blinker Ideally, he’ll be extra centered heading into the Louisiana Derby and never fall too far behind. This stallion has a wonderful pedigree that makes him properly suited to deal with the 1 3/16 mile distance of the Louisiana Derby, and even longer distances in future races.

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First time racing? Let me clarify…

blinker These are cups positioned on the skin of a horse’s eyes earlier than a race. They are often minimize to completely different lengths and are used to restrict the horse’s visual view. This ideally improves your horse’s efficiency by permitting him to deal with what’s in entrance of him fairly than what’s behind him.


6. Spirit of Royal (20-1)

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta

coach: dallas stewart

Proprietor: Gervais Racing

Work historical past: 7 begins – 1 win – 1 second – 0 thirds

Profession revenue: $121,164

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 92

Kentucky Derby factors: 0

Pedigree: World Marketing campaign – Spirit Lets Coronary heart, written by Girolamo

shade: bay

Operating type: close by

evaluation: The massive man makes his fairgrounds debut in a really powerful place after seven begins up to now, the primary 4 at Kentucky final 12 months and the final three at Oaklawn Park. Spirit of Royal completed second in his debut dash final summer season, however has completed fourth or worse in 4 begins since then (he misplaced his jockey in a single), and confirmed enchancment by extending to 2 corners for the primary time in his first one-mile race on Jan. 2 at Oak Garden. He overcame a stretch bump to win by a size and a half, setting the stage for his first Derby prep problem within the Southwest Stakes to be held at Arkansas Race Course on February sixth. Spirit of Royal was a protracted shot at 62.40-1 at 1 1/16 miles southwest, however was unable to get better from his place close to the again of the sphere and completed ninth out of 12, 6 3/4 lengths behind winner Silent Tactical. He earned a career-best 92 Equibase Pace ​​quantity at Southwest, however might want to enhance on that by about 10 factors to have an opportunity at ending within the high 4 on Saturday.


7.Blacksmith (6-1)

Jockey: Florent Geroux

coach: bob baffert

Proprietor: wasnan racing

Work historical past: 5 begins – 1 win – 2 seconds – 1 third

Profession revenue: $103,600

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 100

Kentucky Derby factors: 5

Pedigree: Liam’s Map – Candy Achiever, by Carlin

shade: bay

Operating type: press tempo/stalker

evaluation: Blacksmith is including intrigue to the Louisiana Derby, ranging from Corridor of Fame coach Bob Baffert’s Southern California dwelling base to attain extra Kentucky Derby factors. Final December, the well-bred colt Liam’s Map, whereas nonetheless a maiden (in search of his first win), ran second to the stableman’s Litmus Check within the 1 1/16-mile Los Alamitos Futurity, securing 5 horses. After Los Al Futurity, his third profession begin, Blacksmith ran in his two maiden races to start out 2026. Within the first race, held at Santa Anita Park with two corners and one mile, he completed third, one size behind Robusta and half a size behind extremely regarded stablemate Cherokee Nation. This race was an necessary one. Robusta is coaching to complete second within the current San Felipe Stakes Offered by DK Horses on the Kentucky Derby course, whereas Cherokee Nation is a powerful contender for the Santa Anita Derby after ending fifth within the Robert B. Lewis Stakes and profitable his first race. Blacksmith rose from third place to win the one-mile race at Santa Anita by 3 3/4 lengths, incomes him a 100 equal base pace determine and his spectacular first victory. It will give the Corridor of Fame coach his first Louisiana Derby entry since ending sixth in Code West in 2013, parting methods with Cherokee Nation and different Santa Anita Derby candidates skilled by Baffert. Florent Geroux, who rode Blacksmith for his first win and has been driving properly for Baffert since shifting to California, returned to his former winter base on the Fairgrounds to trip. Count on Geroux to be aggressive and permit Blacksmith to attach with potential pacesetter Chip Honcho early within the race.

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8. Easterly (6-1)

Jockey: Edgardo Zayas

coach: brad cox

Proprietor: WinStar Farm, CHC Inc., First Go Racing

Work historical past: 2 begins – 1 win – 1 second – 0 three innings

Profession revenue: $49,600

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 85

Kentucky Derby factors: 0

Pedigree: Uncle Mo – Written by Dakota Wind, Tiznow

shade: darkish bay or brown

Operating type: please decide up the tempo

evaluation: The second Louisiana Derby racer skilled by Brad Cox, like Autobahn, is inexperienced however filled with potential. Easterly set an early tempo on a one-turn filth mile in his debut race at Gulfstream Park in late December, tiring late and ending second to the category president. This colt is being skilled to win the Insurgent Stakes at Oaklawn Park on March 1st and hope to affix the Kentucky Derby leaderboard. Easterly then broke away on the second begin and about two turns into the primary flip and set the tempo once more within the 1 1/16-mile Gulfstream race, earlier than profitable by a convincing 2 3/4 lengths. This was an amazing effort in his second profession race and was worthy of his 85 Equal Pace ​​Index. If this colt could make an identical soar in his third race, he could possibly be a risk to trigger an upset within the Louisiana Derby. Like a number of different contenders, the Uncle Mo colt has been bred to do his greatest in route racing, and it is a testomony to his connections that Gulfstream-based jockey Edgard Zayas will journey to New Orleans to trip him after driving Easterly in his first two begins. If Easterly will get a slight benefit over Autobahn, it might give Brad Cox his third profession Louisiana Derby win.


9. Rising Markets (6-1)

Jockey: Flavien Prat

coach: chad brown

Proprietor: clarabitch steady

Work historical past: 1 begin – 1 win – 0 second – 0 third

Profession revenue: $18,880

Prime numbers for equal base pace: 79

Kentucky Derby factors: 0

Pedigree: Sweet Trip – Wild Empress, Empire Maker

shade: chestnut

Operating type: stalker

evaluation: Rising Markets enters the Louisiana Derby in search of confirmed connections, however solely has one profession begin on his resume. He made headlines on the Feb. 7 card at Tampa Bay Downs by defeating the favored Powershift by three-quarters of a size within the opening race, a one-mile, 40-yard race with two laps of turns. As a substitute of focusing on the Esmark Tampa Bay Derby, coach Chad Brown steered the colt to the Louisiana Derby and upstart stablemate Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes winner Paladin to the April 4 Toyota Bluegrass Stakes at Keeneland as closing preparation for the Kentucky Derby. The rising market buzz subsided considerably after Powershift ran a snug sixth place within the Tampa Bay Derby, however the colt confirmed loads of expertise in his debut and is properly inside his rights to enhance additional in his second begin, albeit in opposition to harder competitors. Flavien Prat, who rode Rising Market to victory, heads to the Fairgrounds to gather his mount, however will probably be fascinating to see how he positions his mount within the area after breaking from the skin put up. Gun Runner, the offspring of this horse of the 12 months (and winner of the 2016 Louisiana Derby), has the pedigree to enhance if he can take the rising market nearer to the rails and protect his area within the first mile or so.

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