Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners. Benefit from the weekend’s finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and event play pioneer Noel Michaels. Take a look at some spotlight picks each week designed that can assist you money out some bets and earn cash. Noel’s picks have been featured in print in Every day Racing Type, Horseplayer Journal, American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com, USRacing.com, from the on-track paddock at Arlington Worldwide Race Course, and nearly wherever horse racing picks might be seen, together with broadcasts on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Further, NYRA’s Speaking Horses, and TV broadcasts on WAVE-3 Louisville. ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and Channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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Saturday, March twenty eighth
This Saturday is without doubt one of the signature days of spring horse racing on the Street to the Kentucky Derby Introduced by Woodford Reserve, with each the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby at Xalapa and the Grade 1 Curlin Florida Derby introduced by Hill & Dale Farms working within the highlight. For this weekend’s winners, let’s take a deep dive into the 2 headline occasions for 3-year-old horses and see if you can also make some cash betting on these doubtlessly chalk races, together with the bragging rights of selecting the winner. Good luck and revel in an ideal Saturday of horse racing and betting at Oaklawn Park and Gulfstream Park.
Gulfstream Park, Race 14, $1 million Carlin Florida Derby Introduced by Hill and Dale Farms at Xalapa6:42pm ET
The Grade 1 Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park options an impressive subject of eight horses competing over 1 1/8 miles on the street to the Kentucky Derby and is probably essentially the most anticipated of all Derby prep races to date this season (redland rebels Scheduled to be scratched to run within the Arkansas Derby). #6 Nearly He gained a number of consideration along with his spectacular victory within the G3 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park on January thirty first, and skipped the Coolmore Fountain of Youth Stakes to focus instantly on this race. He completed effectively beneath strain and confirmed nice pace at Holy Bull to take an enormous win. It will be tough to win even when we made related efforts right here. Coach Todd Pletcher has received the Florida Derby eight occasions, and jockey John Velasquez has received it six occasions, together with the final 4 occasions they’ve mixed to win this race, most just lately with Fierceness in 2024. If Neary goes to win, he’ll should fend off a slew of stretch challengers, together with Tampa Bay Derby winner Esmark. #9 Pumaand #4 Commandment and #2 Chief Wallabywho completed first and second at Gulfstream’s Fountain of Youth final time. All three have a respectable probability to win, and none of them are shocking. Puma defeated Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Membership Stakes winner Father Add within the Tampa Bay Derby, making him the favourite to win. Chief Wallaby beat The Puma in Gulfstream’s first race earlier within the event, and completed second by a large margin in Fountain of Youth, his second profession race. This will likely be 2025 Kentucky Derby profitable coach Invoice Mott’s third profession begin, and we are able to anticipate him to enhance additional on this race. Comanment defeated Chief Wallaby at Fountain of Youth and likewise received Gulfstream’s Mucho Macho Man Stakes this winter. It’ll be a hell of a race. Stand up with Neary, leap on the late runners, and maintain off everybody to win. We worth him greater than another participant within the trifecta.
the play: guess on #9 Nearly (3-1) To win and obtain the trifecta #2 Chief Wallaby (2-1), #4 Commandment (5-2)and #9 The Puma (9-2).
Oak Garden Park, Race 13, $1.5 million arkansas derby7:48pm ET
The street from Oaklawn Park to the Kentucky Derby culminates with a run in Saturday’s Grade 1 Arkansas Derby. Eight 3-year-old horses are anticipated to compete within the 1.5-mile function occasion for a whopping $1.5 million (#7 Napoleon Solo He will likely be scratched to run in subsequent week’s Wooden Memorial Stakes (introduced by Resorts World On line casino in Suidobashi). The chief on this subject is #6 Renegadereceived the $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in his final begin, beating a powerful subject of horses that included Tampa Bay Derby runner-up The Puma. When Renegade was two years outdated, he competed towards Paladin, a number one Kentucky Derby candidate, in New York, and though he defeated Paladin within the first spherical, he suffered a questionable DQ within the first spherical, after which completed second to Paladin within the G2 Remsen Stakes. Renegade regarded even higher in his 3-year-old debut final outing in Tampa, however this will likely be coach Todd Pletcher’s second begin of the season and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. may have a tricky job conserving him within the saddle with a visit to Oak Garden. The very best of the winter Oaklawn contingent on this subject is #2 Silence ways, He received the G3 Southwest Stakes in his earlier race, and completed second within the G2 Insurgent Stakes, simply behind the category president. Silent Techniques was undoubtedly aiming for a winner, however gave the impression to be sluggish on the degree. One of many huge questions going into this Arkansas Derby is whether or not he can do higher this Saturday. Maybe he can, however will it’s sufficient to defeat Renegades? #3 Blackout time He in all probability wanted this race to get again on observe after a five-month layoff, having had a horrible run final time and ending fourth. The horse completed second to 2-year-old champion Ted Nophy in final fall’s G1 race, and if he can transfer ahead in his second begin after a break, he has a very good probability of turning issues round.
the play: guess on #6 Renegade (3-2) To win and play him within the exacta field and trifecta field, #2 Silence Techniques (5-2) and #3 Blackout Time (6-1).
