TPC San Antonio is a ball-striking take a look at that exposes weak iron play, forcing gamers to grind across the greens.
Thursday’s near-constant storms throw the standard “fast begin” angle into query. Friday will proceed to be tough with wind and extended rain, whereas Saturday might be disrupted by extreme storms and delays.
Sunday is a whole flip. It’s anticipated to be cooler, drier and simpler to play. Which means that this event will not be determined early and is constructed for steady gamers who can get by means of the primary three days and take benefit when the state of affairs lastly eases.
Maintain onto your playing cards this week. There is no such thing as a profit to forcing bets proper earlier than Masters Week.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook (Consists of tie) Topic to alter.
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Ludwig Oberg: High 20 (-125)
Full odds:
High 10 +165
High 5 +315
To get +1500
The query this week is whether or not TPC San Antonio will keep within the gridiron or flip into a brief sport grind. As a result of that distinction is every part to Aberg.
His case is straightforward. He posted back-to-back weeks of elite ball putting, ending T3 at Bay Hill and T5 at Gamers. His strategy offers him a stroke that ranks within the prime 10 within the area, and he hits the tee and iron on the identical time, probably the most helpful combo on this very course.
TPC is constructed to reveal the common iron participant. The fairways are 25 to 30 yards large, and the greens are bunkered and undulating, making them play smaller than their precise measurement. Miss within the fallacious spot and you will find your self scrambling by means of deep sand or pure tough.
Aberg hitting the ball means he not often participates in both dialog.
And if he misses, his quick sport information will again him up. Contemplating how powerful the greenside bunkers are at Valero and the truth that he is within the prime 25 across the greens, being twelfth in sand save might be useful. The one actual softness is within the scrambles total, however along with his irons this sharp he creates quick, clear restoration conditions from the get-go.
Jordan Spieth: High 20 (-110)
Full odds:
High 10 +190
High 5 +375
+1850 to win
Having Spieth on the cardboard is like having a number of gamers as a result of he will be very risky, nevertheless it cuts each methods. This week, the circumstances are shaping up for the model of Spieth you truly need.
He has completed within the prime 20 at this course three years in a row, together with a win in 2021. His course historical past right here isn’t any coincidence. He is completed within the prime 5 on strategy, prime 30 across the greens, and prime 10 from tee to inexperienced, making him the right profile for a course that calls for equal components accuracy with the irons and creativity within the quick sport. Spieth gained almost 10 extra strokes on ball strikes when he completed T10 in 2024. In 2025, his placing acquired him going. In different phrases, he finds a option to struggle.
Actually, the climate forecast elevated him from enjoying effectively to extra assured, blaming the rain and early scoring suppression. It is a week of survival and creativeness, pushing by means of more durable circumstances, saving par when different spots flip into bogeys, and persevering as pictures fly across the area.
When issues get uncomfortable and chaos begins to separate the sector, that is whenever you need to again Spieth.
Gamers to think about for every day fantasy
Sudarshan Yelamaraju, $8,100: In response to the information, he is been talked about with top-six finishes on tee pictures, approaches and totals, back-to-back top-six finishes at The Gamers and Houston, and spectacular iron stats in all however one event he is performed this 12 months. The shape is actual.
The dangers are simply as actual. He ranked 107th in sand save on a tense course with bunkers, and he has by no means performed this course. The $8,100 value is for a ball-striking profile that matches the course on paper versus a area with gamers who know find out how to play in observe. There is a ceiling, however you may’t actually make out the ground.
DFS participant fades out
Denny McCarthy, $8,200: The course historical past is genuine and can entice his consideration. McCarthy is on monitor to complete second in 2025 together with two different top-20 gamers. With this, you may hear the horse narrative of the course loud and the $8,200 price ticket seems to be price it. it isn’t.
His 2026 efficiency is an irrefutable query in course historical past. He is been shaky off the tee, making two cuts in his final 4 begins, however he is improved along with his irons in consecutive rounds, however is it constant sufficient? Earlier than that, he had misplaced 4 consecutive approaches. Possibly he is discovered one thing, however he is outdoors the highest 50 in scrambles and out of doors the highest 100 in sand saves. If his irons go unhealthy, he might be in huge hassle all through the week. The older model of McCarthy is interesting, however the 2026 model is extra more likely to seem.
