The PGA Tour has returned to the Blue Monster Course at Trump Nationwide Doral in Miami. The course is a 7,739-yard par 72 and has not hosted a Tour occasion since Adam Scott received there in 2016.
There are water on 16 of the 18 holes, 5 par 4s over 450 yards, 4 par 5s with a mean distance of over 600 yards, and three par 3s over 200 yards.
There are only a few comfortable spots on this course, so the gamers who win right here drive lengthy, straight across the course, hit their lengthy irons with laser-point precision, and do not flinch, even on Sunday.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook (Consists of tie) Topic to alter.
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Methods to play Scotty Scheffler
Full odds (tie):
Scheffler is the very best participant within the area when it comes to pure expertise and consistency. He is within the prime 5, if not the highest three, in nearly each course-related class, placing him in a special stratosphere than most.
The one relative weak point has been inconsistent strategy play for many of the season, rating 18th among the many area. That is the softest a part of an in any other case dominant profile. Scheffler’s 200+ yard band barely cracks the highest 60, which straight corresponds to a course that repeatedly hits that vary with par 3s and lengthy par 4s. His profile is so dominant that it is not sufficient for it to fade.
Since February 2025, Scheffler has completed within the prime 5 18 occasions in 28 tournaments and has seven wins, together with one in 2026. He has achieved consecutive runner-up finishes on the Masters and RBC. (-148) accurately costs gamers who convert at that fee.
The difficulty is your monetary danger. Probably the most related pink flag was final month’s T24 at Bay Hill, the place Scheffler misplaced practically three strokes with irons, however gained practically seven strokes at Augusta. The volatility of his irons is a danger, however when constructing playing cards, (-148) must be thought-about a official play, not a worth play. The hit fee might be well worth the value.
The sensible argument for a win excessive 5 (+310) is that Scheffler’s flooring at this course might be prime ten. He does not explode. The highest 5 pays for what he does constantly, whereas the outright pays for outcomes which can be supported by historic information, at a value that the market units accurately.
Mainly, if it’s a must to decide one, the stakes are larger for the outright, however the prime 5 offers you a cushion. No matter which quantity he will get, Scheffler is the participant probably to be in competition on Sunday.
Collin Morikawa High 10 +152 (tie)
Full odds:
Morikawa has the very best strategy within the area, is elite from tee to inexperienced, and has an actual profitable ceiling. Bermuda placing is the one caveat to confidently backing him as an outright, however he does not want a putter to crack the highest 10. Staying impartial lets you get the job finished. If he places nicely, he can win. He had been apprehensive about his again damage in latest weeks, however his back-to-back top-seven finishes have eased these worries. His prime 5 and full odds communicate to his worth. He’s in all probability greatest suited to programs aside from Scheffler.
Hideki Matsuyama High 20 -110 (tie)
Full odds:
High 10 +2200
High 5 +495
To get +3200
His odds aren’t engaging, but when you may get an affordable value for a participant who can a minimum of end inside the highest 10, he is value contemplating. Matsuyama’s accuracy with lengthy irons at crucial distances is among the many greatest on my record of gamers, rating him within the prime 10 from distances over 200 yards. His Bermuda placing is optimistic and constant on tougher programs. He’s realistically behind off the tee (sixtieth place), however his strategy mixed with the standard of his placing ought to make up for among the hits.
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Akshay Bhatia, $8,100: He is essentially the most intriguing factor to me this week. He’s the second greatest iron participant within the area, along with his lengthy par 4 efficiency being a direct match and his Bermuda placing being impartial to optimistic. The one draw back is that it is quantity 48 from the tee. If you cannot discover the golf green on the water, it does not matter how good your irons are when you’re already one step behind.
I say attention-grabbing as a result of he wins at Bay Hill and the highest 20 odds are +135. Nonetheless, he improved his putt by practically 11 strokes and received. It’s not a reproducible attribute. The highest 20 is conservative, the highest 10 is affordable given his profile potential, and his outright value (+5,200) is engaging because the market has buried him at these odds. They are saying it is unlikely, however the information exhibits it may very well be within the prime 5. His ceiling makes him an amazing DFS choice.
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Cameron Younger $10,200: We have to win to justify this value. He has very sturdy strategy numbers and appears match, however this course would require accuracy from 175 yards many occasions. That is the place he falls brief. From that distance, he is exterior the highest tier. He is good at getting the ball nearer to the opening total, however not from all distances. If you happen to transfer away, he loses his edge.
The remainder of his sport is strong, particularly on the par 5s, so he can nonetheless hit lots of good photographs and dangle round, however this setup is constructed for gamers who stroll away with lengthy irons. If you happen to wager on him or play him in DFS, you are asking him to win within the very space the place he is not elite.
Alex Smalley $7,100: Smalley, who completed second within the Zurich Basic mixed occasion after ending 14th at Valero, is a protracted hitter on the par-4s and ranks among the many prime 10 within the area. However all the pieces else just isn’t par for the course. He is prime 35 on strategy, 68th on lengthy par 5s, detrimental with a Bermuda putter, detrimental on par 3s… all of that are protecting him from what he wants to have the ability to compete. A par 4 match alone will not present sufficient workload right here. Regardless of his strong efficiency this 12 months, it is arduous to belief him.
Gary Woodland $7,400: Woodland might be within the highlight after profitable the PGA in Houston a couple of weeks in the past. He ranks eighth off the tee, however all the pieces else issues, particularly on this course. His irons might be hit and miss. He has misplaced strokes on strategy in 4 consecutive video games, however has elevated them in three of his previous 4 begins. This course calls for elite lengthy iron play, and Woodland does not have it. He’s not within the prime 50 in strokes gained on par 3s of 200 yards or extra. With three par 3s over 205 yards, stroke crosses are nearly assured all through the 4 rounds. If he makes detrimental putts on this facet with out making strategy performs to compensate, he’ll fade out.
